03 juni 2016

Great betting weekend (June 3-5)

Great bets this weekend in the football. Here are the best and a short why they are the best :)

Friday

Faroe Islands 4/1 (5,00)
Kosovo huge favourites in a game played in Germany. F.I. are not as bad as the prices indicate and should IMO have a great chance against a Kosovo no one knows much about.


Saturday

Austria 17/10 (2,70)
Austria are my bet to win the Euros. This is the last test before the Euros and they face Netherlands at home in Vienna. Netherlands have beaten Poland etc. lately but miss the Euros and are not as impressive as their results might indicate. Austria will show why they win the Euros here.

Bilbao B 5/4 (2,25)
Neither team has anything to play for. Bilbao are relegated and Tenerife have no chance of reaching the PO. Tenerife have a long trip here and there are some talk of them leaving many of the usual starters at home, giving them an early vacation. Bilbao might want to leave the Segunda with a good performance.

Elche+1
Alcorcon have to win to have a chance to reach the PO. But Elche will not be an easy task. This is a good chance bet.

Valladolid 4/1 (5,00)
Valladolids season is over but they will play their best team here as they face Mallorca, who are desperate for a win to avoid relegation. Valladolid might be helped if Ponfi and Almeria take early leads as Mallorca need one of them to lose points to have a chance. 4/1 too big on Valladolid.

Llagostera +1 (or 6/1 outright (7,00))
Yes llagostera are relegated and Zaragoza have a slim chance of missing the PO. Llagostera have been really good at home and it is their away form that relegates them. Zaragoza also are poor away with 11 draws in 20 games. as 1 point is enough for Zaragoza to secure a PO-spot maybe that is the bet here.

Alaves +1
Alaves are promoted and have awesome form. They need a point to secure the Segunda title as Leganes have better H2H-results and will pass them if Leganes win and Alaves lose. `Nastic can reach automatic promotion with a win, but as Leganes will win their last game (no doubt about it), Nastic will have to settle for third place no matter how this game ends. So if Leganes take a huge lead, which I think, Nastic have nothing to play for and Alaves might get the draw or more.

Frej+1
Frej play a derby against AFC and are overpriced. They rarely lose these derbies and could have been an outright bet if it wasn´t for the last 3 H2H ending in a draw. Great price on the +1 here.


Sunday

Sweden 21/20  (2,05)
Sweden at Friends with Zlatan in what probably is his last game at home with Sweden. Wales are not as good as Sweden and I think and hope (as I am there) that Sweden win by 2 or more.

Hercules 21/10 (3,10)
8 teams chasing 2 Segunda places, so this is a semifinal first leg. Toledo beatReal Murcia in the last leg but they were no good in the first leg at home. Hercules always are close to promotion and I think the Alicante-side will take the step up this season. They are overpriced here.

Lleida 6/5  (2,20)
Castilla are overrated as they are Real Madrids B-side. Lleida had a great season at home with just 2 losses and 7 goals let in. They kept a clean sheet in 14 home games. They should be 6/10 here if compilers weren´t too impressed of the name of their opponents

Cadiz 13/10 (2,30)
Cadiz have great support at home and impressed in the last round. Now they face Santander B, who missed in the direct-playoff against Reus. Santander were very poor in those games and Cadiz are overpriced.

Reus 11/10  (2,10)
This is the Segunda B-final between reus and UCAM Murcia, who both are promoted to Segunda. And both are there for the first time and both are huge surprises. Reus have had a Super good season at home, while UCAM have impressed on the road.
This game really means nothing. Yes, it would be fun for the teams to be Segunda B-champions, but I think the players are sastisfied just by being ptomoted. UCAM had a great game away to Castilla last week and I think that they dont really care about this game.  Reus 11/10 is BOTWe (Bet of the Weekend)


All these are good bets but my 3 favourite are


REUS  11/10
LLAGOSTERA +1
LLEIDA  6/5