Swedish Thoughts Sunday 29 april

Another great betting day yesterday :)
Today many games in Sweden that are worth a bet.


First let me share this link to more correct inplay stats as som bookmakers usually have incorrect stats in Swedish games. Don´t know why but the people reporting these games seem to be lost too often. These stats are the ones used by TV etc.
http://livescore.svenskfotboll.se/?date=&national=0



Allsvenskan:
Djurgården v Kalmar
Neither team can be satisfied with their start to the season. Both teams have beaten Sundsvall and Kalmar have also beten Häcken, apartfrom that they have poor results. In the last two Djurgården games there has been 12 goals and their defence is one of the weakest in Allsvenskan. Kalmar need to forget their defensive football if they want to win here. Over 2,5 could be a bet here but at 7/10 (1,70) it isn´t good enough. I prefer Both teams to score at 10/11 (1,91). No way any team will win 3-0 or more so for the over 2,5 to land, both teams need to score. A really good bet IMO.

Sundsvall v Örebro
Two of the weakest teams in Allsvenska so far and here I go for the value bet. Örebro at 12/5 (3,40) is too high. Even a bet on X2 could be a good one. Sundsvall should not be as low as evens (2,00) here.

Norrköping v Malmö
malmö started the season really poor and even though they have 3 straight wins they are not playing well. Norrköping could disturb and pregame their price is the only you could go for. But I will wait for live inplay prices on this and check the stats to find wher to bet.
This could also bea BTTS-game as I predict a few goals.


Superettan
Umeå v Ljungskile
Ljungskile have met three of the best teams in Superettan so far and only come away with 1 point. Umeå won against Degerfors in the last round and are also the only team that have been really close to grabbibg points against leagueleaders Hammarby. 29/20 (2,45) is good on the hometeam and some bookies offer even more.

Värnamo v Landskrona
Värnamo are too weak for Superettan. No points and no goals scored after 3 rounds is not only poor, it is really lousy. landskrona score goals and won at home to Brage last time out. If they score I think they will win and score they should against a Värnamo side that has to attack if they want to break their duck. 6/4 (2,50) on landskrona is one of the better bets in Sweden today.

Jönköping v Öster
As you know I like Jönköping and they are still a bit underrated. They now meet one of the preseason favourites öster in a Smålands derby. After beating two weak teams by a few goals, jönköping showed last week that they belong in the top as they beat Trelleborg away. Both teams have a full 9 points, but Jönköping is a bit more impressive IMO. Bet on them untill they start to lose is my tip and 11/10 (2,10) is good enough.


In womens allsvenska go for big wins for Linköping and Tyresö. -1 atleast and Linköping could even be a -3 bet as they are miles better than weak AIK.

Swedish thoughts Saturday 28 april

Saturdays are sadly ignored as match day in Sweden. This is too bad as it is a great day for top football. 
Today I have bets in both Allsvenskan games

Göteborg v Åtvidaberg
åtvidaberg started really well but have lost their last two games. Göteborg started bad butfinally won (after a bi of luck) in the last round. Göteborg are a team for the top and should win today. But prices on them are uninteresting and I will go for Both teams to score as I think there will be a few goals. 10/11 (1,91) is good.

Syrianska v Häcken
Häcken will bounce back after the loss in the derby in the last round and I think they can win against really weak Syrianska by a few goals. 4/5 (1,83) is excellent and the Swedish bet of the day.


later today they final in the icelandic leaguecup is played between Fram and KR. Fram will be favourites and they are the better tam at the moment. SteveN lennon will score and lead his team to victory: I will update with inplay bets on twitter.

Swedish Thoughts Thursday-Friday 26-27 april

A few Swedish games are played in Allsvenskan and Superettan the next two days. Hopefully I will be home on Saturday so I can write something aboutthe games being played during the weekend too.

Thursday

Allsvenskan

Elfsborg v GAIS
Elfsborg´s only loss of the season so far came away to reigning champions Helsingborg. They have won the other 4 games played. But Helsingborg i also the only side that thwy have met that will be in the top third of Allsvenskan. So it is hard to value their start of the season.
GAIS have disapointed me and even though they beat Norrköping last week and even though they only have lost 1 game so far, I am beginning to think that I may have overrated them.
At the moment Elfsborg is the much better team and should win. But 8/13 (1,61) is too low so I will stay away from pregame betting and wait for the live inplay betting and if Elfsborg start well I will bet on them at hopefully better prices.

Gefle v AIK
AIK have won both awaygames and drawn all three games at home. Gefle beat Kalmar away last time to get their first win of the season. AIK are hard to beat and are good defensively, but I have a feeling that the value is on the hometeam here. Apart from lst season teh games between these teams usually are tight affairs and looking at how the teams have played thi s season there won´t be many goals. I will try a small bet on Gefle at 9/4 (3,25) just for the value. And a bigegr bet on there being under 2,5 goals in the game.



Superettan

varberg v Falkenberg
A derby and a big crowd is expected. Varberg plays their first season ever in Superettan but have made good signings and started the season well. They have just one win but have played good against tipped top teams Assyriska (who scored twice in teh last 8 minutes to win) and Landskrona.
Falkenberg is a disapointment for me. In both home games so far they have met teams they should beat but have only come away with 1 point.
Varberg are IMo the stronger team at the moment and being the "little brother" in this serby and with many spectators they will have the extra energy needed to win and are a good bet at 11/8 (2,37)



Friday

Allsvenskan

Helsinborg v Mjällby
A great bet IMO. Both teams have 8 points so far but Helsingborg will win this. Mjällby have 2 straight homewins but have struggled away (even though they were the better team away to AIK in the first game). Helsingborg have played ok, maybe not as good as last season but they are starting to find their way. I can´t see anything but a cleat homewin and 8/13 (1,61) is actually a really good banker bet.

Swedish thoughts Monday

Mondays are good days for Swedish football. Always some good games to bet on. I have thoughts in 2 of 3 Allsvenskan matches and in both Superettan games. I also have a banker in Div 1.
Allsvenskan
Häcken v Göteborg
Häcken have started the best this season, but Göteborg have played better than their points count shows. In three of the four games played, göteborg have dropped a 1-0 lead, twice to a 1-2 loss and last week they almost lost 1-2 again, but got lucky and snatched a draw. Göteborg have potential to be the best team in Sweden but obviously they have some problems mentally when dropping a lead.
Häcken Smashed malmö and also scored many at home to Mjällby. last week they were quite pale though when losing in Kalmar.
This is a gothenburg derby and I think Göteborg should be favourites. They are not and 17/10 (2,70) is IMO really good.

malmö v Syrianska
Forget Malmö´s 0-5 loss at Häcken. In the last 2 games they have shown that they can play really well. Against Syrianska I think they will win by a few goals. My opinion is still that Syrianska has the weakest aquad of any team in Allsvenskan for many years and they rely too heavily on some key players. malmö are better and even though they had problems against Syrianska last season they will now win 3-0 or 4-0. try Malmö -1 at 3/4 (1,75) if you find the outright price too low.



Superettan
Landskrona v Varberg
varberg are an underrated side. They will not compete for a spot in allsvenskan but can beat any team in the league. henrik Larsson´s Landskrona have started the season really poor, and are overrated by compilers. Normally Landskrona should win this game but until they proove that they can be good I will go against them when we get 11/4 (3,75) on a team like Varberg. Also try handicapbets.

Hammarby v BP
Hammarby have started the season well with 2 wins and they play good football too. BP also have two wins but I am not sure that they can beat any of the better teams in Superettan. This is a derby but 5/4 on Hammarby is worth a bet. Or wit inplay to get even better prices.



In div 1 N there is a huge banker
Sirius v Enköping
Sirius are big favourites to win the division and  even though this is a derby they should beat Enköping by 3-4 goals. Enköping were very poor last week and I can´t see them scoring here.
So Sirius on the handicap (I will go for the bigger prices on -2, but -1 is good too) och Sirius to win to nil are great bets!

Swedish thoughts - Sunday 22 April

A bit late so I will do them Quickly, my thoughts on Swedish football today, that is.

ALLSVENSKAN

GAIS v Norrköping
GAIS have been the big disappointment for me so far. They have the capability to beat Norrköping but the way they are playing then no serious punter could bet at the prices given. Under evens (2,00) is ridiculous.
Small norrköping bet or +1 on them are the only thing I can recommend.


AIK v Sundsvall
AIK have had problems at home thi sseason and are too big favourites here and the only possible bet is under 2,5 as that often happens when AIK play.


SUPERETTAN
Assyriska v Värnamo
Should be a clear homewin. Värnamo are not good enough to play in Superettan and Assyriska have won both games so far. 8/15 (1,53) a bit low though. Wait a bit inplay for better prices or go Assyriska -1 or maybe Assyriska and over.

Trelleborg v Jönköping
Once again I have to recommend a bet on Jönköping. They have been really good so far and they should not be 2/1 (3,00) against Trelleborg. Compilers still overrate Trelleborg as they played in Allsvenskan last season. This really is the Valuebet of the day!

Falkenberg v Brage
Falkenberg have not been as good as I thought but at home to Brage they should take their first win. Brage will struggle in most awaygames and at 4/5 (1,80) Falkenberg are worth a bet.

Degerfors v Umeå
Degeerfors are without points after 2 games. But they have met halmstadf and Jönköping, two of the best teams in Superettan. Now they  ply home to one of the worst teams, Umeå. William Hill has 10/11 on a homewin and I had hoped for evens. Wait a few minutes inplay and you will get evens, which IMo is a great price.

Swedish thoughts Thursday - Saturday

Away a few days but will be back with selections for sunday when most games are played. The upcoming 3 days there are 5 games of which only two interest me pregame.

Thursday
Öster v Ängelholm
I like Ängelholm but Öster are a team that will fight for a place in Allsvenskan. They have been good so far and have a good chance of winning her. But maybe wait a few minutes inplay so you get atleast evens (2,00) if your bookie (like William hill) have a lower price.


Friday
Mjällby v Djurgården
Djurgården are not good enough IMO. Mjällby proved against Åtvidaberg that they are a good hometeam. If they play the same way here they will win easily. 13/10 (2,30) is really good and the best Swedish bet the next 3 days. Mjällby always seem to be underrated but I think they will go good this season if they continue like they did against Åtvidaberg.
Djurgården have lost here the last two seasons 3-0. Look for something similair this time and the daring must try -1 on Mjällby.

Swedish Thoughts monday 16 April

My thoughts for monday. Hope you followed the bets yesterday as AIK did reach desired price at halftime, Ängelholm won and all women´s game were winning bets.

ALLSVENSKAN

Gefle v Elfsborg
A definite stayaway-game IMO. Gefle lost big to Åtvidaberg last time out but they are better at home. Elfsborg have not impressed so far and as the games between these teams in Gävle often are close affairs I will stay away. Atleast pregame.

Kalmar v Häcken
bet of the day in Sweden. Kalmar have not played well so far. They are hard to beat  as usual but something is missing IMO. They were weak against Malmö and even at home against AIK, they didn´t play well. Today they take on Häcken, an underated side that could end top 3 if all goes well. After a scoreless local derby in the first round they have two homewins and have scored 9 goals. Th only problem is that this is the first game away from Göteborg but at todays prices they are really worth a bet. William Hill are a bit low with 8/5 (2,60) but can be used anyway.

Norrköping v Sundsvall
Another good bet as norrköpng have shown much more than the newcomers Sundsvall. norrköping are a team that can beat any other team in Allsvenskan and will beat Sundsvall today at evens (2,00)

Helsingborg v GAIS
Like I have said before, there is something about GAIS I like. here they meet one of the best teams in Allsvenskan but still can grab points. the prices are uninteresting though and the only bet I can think of pregame is under 2,5 goals. In the 7 last meetings in Helsingborg there has been no more than 2 goals in any game. Gais have won on 2 of their last 3 visits here BTW (a draw last season also).

Djurgården v malmö
Are Malmö on their way to show that they are as good as experts predicted? Or were Kalmar just awful in the last game? Against a Djurgården that is not so good, Malmö should be favourites. at 17/10 (2,70) they are worth a bet. Check me out on twitter (marten_sweden) before the game as I need to check a little more on starting elevens etc. But malmö is the only possible bet so far.


SUPERETTAN

Jönköping v Ljungskile
One of 3 good bets in Sweden today. I told you about Jönköping last week but compilers must not have listened as they are evens today against a Ljungskile side that will end in the bottom third of Superettan. Jönköping´s Hrgota scored twice in the first game and will score again. He together with Guidetti and Elfsborg´s hiljemark are some of th egreat players in the next swedish generation. Jönköping are a good bet today.

In the other two Superettan games I have no good bets but I have a feeling that Hammarby will be too strong for Umeå.

In division 1 I must go against my hometown, Enköping. I think they will be lucky to get a point against Syrianska Kerburan and +1 for the awayside is a bet for me.

Swedish Thougts Sunday 15 april

Now the Swedish season is really starting as div 1,2 and 3 starts aswell. I will try to find good bets in those divisions aswell. I usuallu use prices from William Hill, as they have the greatest thing on the internet, their Inplay radio service, but with lower divisions I must find prices elsewhere and as I have a small connection with Unibet (I was one of their first 10 customers) I will pick prices from them. Once again, there might be better prices but I will not look around.


Allsvenskan

Syrianska v AIK
AIK should win this game but they have not been good enought o be the price they are. Two draws at home and a lucky win at Kalmar do not warrant a price under evens (2,00). Syrianska had a shock win in the first round against Göteborg, but away to Sundsvall last week they were really poor.
If you look at H2H it seems like Syrianska beat AIK 3-0 last time they played here, but that win was given them after the game was abandoned due to idiots in the AIK crowd.
I think this will be a low scoring game, as it often is with AIK. Another way is to wait and bet AIK inplay when they reach 5/4 (2,20) or more.

Mjällby v åtvidaberg
You can´t go against a team that has started the season as Åtvidaberg have done. Especially as they meet a team that has played so poorly as Mjällby. They were good against AIk in the first round but after that they have not impressed anyone. The only reason why åtvidaberg should be taken with caution is that this game is played on natural grass. All 3 wins for åtvidaberg so far have come on an artificial pitch. But at 2/1 (3,00) they must be the bet.

Göteborg v Örebro
Göteborg have just 1 point so far and they are pried too low here. Any time now they will start firing like they are supposed to and could win by 3-4 goals against any team. But as long as they haven´t proven themselves to be as good as the experts thought preseason, you cannot bet on them at the prices offered today. it´s not only that they have lost, in both losses they have been 1-0 up. Örebro come from 2 straight 0-0 matches and maybe they are good enough defensively to shut out Göteborg too? Stay away.


Superettan

Ängelholm v Värnamo
One of the best bets today. Ängelholm is a team that I think will be higher in Superettan than many experts predicted. And Värnamo might be the worst team in the division. Hard to tell though as this is only the second game but 3/4 (1,75) is highert than I thought  on Ängelholm and a certain bet.

BP v Falkenberg
No idea here. Thought falkenberg would win easily against Umeå but it ended 1-1. Ae they not as good as I thought or will they win here? no idea. so stay away.


Womens Allsvenska
No pregame prices with William Hill.

Djurgården v Jitex
IMO Jitex is the better team. Should be outsiders and could be a fun bet.

Vittsjö v AIK
Vittsjö are better than AIK, a team I rank bottom of Allsvenskan. prices might be too low on Vittsjö though looking at other bookies.

LDB Malmö v kristianstad
banker homewin and seems to be at a good price. LDB should be a few goals stronger and -1 and -2 are bets too for me. Kristianstad held Linköping to a 1-1 draw last round but they are a strong home team. Away they are much poorer.


In division 1 (men) I have 2 bets
Forward should be a top team, Sandviken won´t and this should be a banker home win.

Sleipner are around 2/1 (3,00) at home to Oddevold and that seems too high for me, much too high.

Div 2.
Rotebro are a fun bet agianst valsta/syrianska, who have been priced up as bg favourites. Rotebro are not a bad team and have a better chance than prices indicate.

Swedish Thoughts friday 13 April

Two games on friday, one in Allsvenskan and one in Superettan. I will stay away from the Allsvenskan game as Malmö sometime must play to their ability but will it be on friday?

In sSuperettan there is a good bet

Öster v Trelleborg
Öster are IMo a better team than Trelelborg trelleborg will be overrated at the start of the season as they were in Allsvenskan last year. Öster played well against Ljungskile and I think they will win here. 6/5 is good and a bet ´for me

Swedish Thoughts 11-12 April

Like I said yesterday; if Åtvidaberg scored in the first half get on them -1. They wom big again :)

Thoughts for the rest of the week:

Wednesday

Örebro v Helsingborg
Örebro are a team I like, but I think they will struggle this season as the squad is quite thin. Helsingborg are tipped as a top team and after a narrow loss to Norrköping and a win at home to Elfsborg I think they will take another win. The price has gone up from evens to 6/5 (2,20). Don´t know why but IMO that is a good price to bet on.
Also try both teams to score.

GAIS v Djurgården
GAIS are a team that could end up high in the Allsvenskan this season. They always seem to be underrated, not only in the oddscompiler´s eyes but also in the eye of the Swedish footballfans. They have not impressed so far but they should be better than Djurgården. Many said that Djurgården were good against Elfsborg, but IMo Elfsborg were poor and are not a top 3 team. Djurgården then tooka lucky win against Sundsvall and I can´t see them do anything here.
Gais to win at 21/20 (2,05) is really good.


THURSDAY

Sundsvall v Syrianska
Syrianska have had a lot of luck so far and it will run out here. Sundsvall have no points so far after two 0-1 losses. That is my only worry, they have poor form but if they score they should win. Not a great price but try Sundsvall to win and under 2,5 goals.

Häcken v Mjällby 
Häcken beat Malmö 5-0 and were really good. Mjällby have started with to 0-0 draws. I think Häcken are too big favourites but can I go for 5/1 on Mjällby? I am not sure. Must wait till inplay on this.

AIK v Göteborg
Stay away from this. A really open affair and I can´t find any good bets.

Elfsborg v Norrköping
The way Norrköping are playing I think 6/1 (7,00) is too high. Elfsborg are not impressing me and norrköping have confidence and will go out and believe they can win. handicap bets or the 6/1 will be my bets.

Swedish thoughts Tuesday 10 april

One game today in Sweden. There are games wed-fri too but I will get back to those tonight or during wednesday.

Åtvidaberg v Gefle
First thought here was offcourse a homewin as newcomers Åtvidaberg have started with 2 straight wins. But  there must be a reaction soon and Åtvidaberg have proven weak in defence so far too. Gefle played 0-0 in malmö and lost a lead at home to Syrianska due to an owngoal. But Gefle are good at shutting down teams when playing away.
If åtvidaberg score in the first half, get on them to win -1. But pregame I cannot recommend any bets here. Especially as Åtvidaberg are 19/20 (1,95) That is too low. There is a big 0-02 chance here and I can even see Gefle striking against a possibly frustrated åtvidaberg.

BUT, if gefle score first. Do not bet on åtvidaberg. Gefle can defend a lead.

Sweden so far

Results of my bets so far:

Week 1:
Åtvidaberg won :)
Gefle lost their win thanks to an owngoal and my outsiderbet on Ängelholm were close as they also drew.


Week 2:
Jönköping won :) And they won 3-1 and Hrgota scored twice :)
Helsingborg won too.
Mjällby only got 0-0
Häcken smashed Malmö 5-0. I thought they could win but went just for unders :(


Quite good so far and it will get even better :)

Sweden Monday 9 April

Today the women´s Allsvenska starts and there is much interest in it as Marta, the best player in the world, has returned to Sweden as the US Pro league broke down ahead of this season. marta will play in Tyresö, a team that look really strong and are favourites for the title.

A bit hard to recommend bets in the first round and as William Hill haven´t pur up prices yet I have to go by the rices other bookies have and recommend this banker treble.

Tyresö
Like I said, Tyresö are probably the best team in Sweden and at home with a huge crowd watching them and loads watching on TV they will win big. marta is the queen. Her playing in Sweden is like Messi would play in the men´s Allsvenska. She has scored 111 goals in her 103 games in Sweden earlier.

Umeå
Always dangerous, even they are not as good as when they always won the league. They start the season against newcomers Vittsjö, who everyone believes will be the whipping girls of the Allsvenskan. Umeå will win, but at the end of the season they won´t come top 3.

Ldb Malmö
malmö, who played well in the Champions League reently are a team for top 3 in Allsvenskan. I think they and Linköping will fight it out behind Tyresö. They play away to Jitex in the first round. Jitex are trained by former Evertonian Stefan Rehn by the way. Jitex are decent but not as good as malmö in any way. Malmö should win by a few goals.


Two other Damallsvenkan bets that maybe could be made (but might be better inplay/live)
Linköping
They are strong this season but Kristianstad were really good at home last season and I want to see more before I bet too much.
Piteå
Plays away to AIK and I think Piteå are a team for the top half of allsvenakn, while AIK will be relegated. Ok prices aroud evens.

Banker treble of Malmö, Umeå and Tyresö should be around 11/10 I think.


In the men´s allsvenskan there are 2 games. Göteborg v Norrköping I will stay away from. Norrköping won at home against Helsingborg in the first round while Göteborg lost to Syrianska. After a great first half something went wrong. Will have to get a feeling for this match before betting on it.
But in the other game there is a really good bet IMO.

kalmar v AIK
Kalmar started with a win away to Sundsvall and will take another win today. AIk were outplayed by Njällby at home and were lucky to get a point. AIK seem weak in attack as they don´t have any clear goalscoeer this season IMO. No good forwards at all even, just a bunch of young players or players that haven´t played much in top divisions.
Kalmar at home are always a bet to look at and at 6/5 they are a really good bet today.


Superettan is still in the first round and it is hard to know how strong (or weak) the teama are.
The only possible pregame bets IMo are Hammarby (against a Halmstad side that will struggle to get back to Allsvenskan) and Falkenberg (who should beat a team that I think may be relegated, Umeå). But inplay is the way to go on these fixtures, and with smaller ebts.

Swedish thoughts 7-8 april

As I am away during the easter I share my thoughts in the sedish games this way and now already.


ALLSVENSKAN Saturday

Häcken v Malmö
malmö were a disapointment at home to gefle in the first round. They are tipped as a top team but I have a few doubts and at the moment I can´t see them anywhere close to champions. Häcken also drew in the opener but I think they can win against malmö.
My bet though will be under 2,5 as I can´t see many goals at all in this one. It is just 4/6 (1,67) but seems like a banker bet.


Mjällby v Örebro
Örebro are facing a tough season and started with a loss home to Åtidaberg. Now they face a Mjällby side that were really good away to AIK. Mjällby was the better team and were worth a win but it finished 0-0. Mjällby have won all 5 games against Örebro in the last 2 seasons (4 in league and 1 in the cup) with a total of 10-1. Mjällby are a good hometeam and will win and I think that 23/20 (2,15)  on them is the best bet of the weekend. Load on.


ALLSVENSKAN Sunday

Helsingborg v Elfsborg 
Helsingborg are champions and IMO a better team than Elfsborg. Helsingborg lost away to Norrköping in the opener and I think that is the reason that we get 23/20 (2,15). They usually win at home to Elfsborg and as I believe that Elfsborg are weaker this season I will bet on Helsingborg without a doubt.



SUPERETTAN Sunday:

Degerfors v Jönköping
Degerfors had a hard preseason with many injuries and defeats in all games against decent opposition. Jönköping had a really good preseason and with 19-year old branimir Hgota scoring for fun (best scorer in Superettan last season with 18 goals) I think they can have a good season. Degerfors on the other hand surprised last season but this year they will strggle.
Jönköping come in to this game with good form and great confidence and 8/5 (2,60) is really good IMO. 3-1?


All other games only inplay (Livespel). Will be back with mondays games on monday

Sweden Friday 6 april

My thoughts for today:

Åtvidaberg v Gais

Åtvidaberg won in the first round against Örebro and looked really good at times. Gais played 0-0 in a Gothenburg derby in the first round. They have had a poor preseason, mainly due to many injuries. Important regular goalkeeper Dime Jankulovski have been missing a long while and is out today. Gais travelled to Åtvidaberg with 19 men as they have o many questionmarks with injured players and players been ill the latest week.

åtvidaberg are newcomers and underrated because of this. Last season they won 12 of 15 homegames in Superettan and boosted by the win against Öebro they will win again. they should be bigger favourites and 6/4 is really good IMO. Watch out for Victor prodell who might score a few goals again.

Gefle v Syrianska

Syrianska beat Göteborg at home last week even though they were outclassed. They had a lucky few minutes between 52-54 mins when they scored twice to win. Syrianska have the worst squad any team has had for many years in Allsvenskan.

gefle started with a great 0-0 in Malmö after really good defensive play. At home on their artificial pitch they have been really good and that´s where they will take most points this season. Gefle should be no more than 6/10 IMO and if Syrianska had lost big in the first game (which the stats indicated as they were outclasse) we would have had that price. 10/11 Is also really good.

Superettan

Trelleborg v Ängelholm

A derby in the first game in Superettan of 2012. Trelleborg were relegated from Allsvenskan last seasoon and have become huge favourites to win superettan. But it has proven to be hard for all relegated teams to get straight back into Allsvenskan. Only 8 of the 42 relegated teams since Superettan started have been able to get promotion straight away. And Trelleborg will not manage that either I predict. After being outsiders in the bottom of Allsvenskan for many years, Trelleborg won´t be used to be favourites.

Ängelholm came 3rd in Superettan last season and almot won promotion to Allsvenskan. In the qualification game against Syrianska they won 2-1 at home and were 1-2 down away in the 2nd leg and everyone thought it would be extra time. But Ängelholm got a man sent of in the 82nd minutes and lost to a 90 minute goal for Syrianska.

Tis season noone believes in Ängelholm but that´s how they like it. In this derby I think they will win and 3/1 is too big. A great bet IMO, but as it is the first round I recommend smaller bets.