Sweden Friday 6 april

My thoughts for today:

Åtvidaberg v Gais

Åtvidaberg won in the first round against Örebro and looked really good at times. Gais played 0-0 in a Gothenburg derby in the first round. They have had a poor preseason, mainly due to many injuries. Important regular goalkeeper Dime Jankulovski have been missing a long while and is out today. Gais travelled to Åtvidaberg with 19 men as they have o many questionmarks with injured players and players been ill the latest week.

åtvidaberg are newcomers and underrated because of this. Last season they won 12 of 15 homegames in Superettan and boosted by the win against Öebro they will win again. they should be bigger favourites and 6/4 is really good IMO. Watch out for Victor prodell who might score a few goals again.

Gefle v Syrianska

Syrianska beat Göteborg at home last week even though they were outclassed. They had a lucky few minutes between 52-54 mins when they scored twice to win. Syrianska have the worst squad any team has had for many years in Allsvenskan.

gefle started with a great 0-0 in Malmö after really good defensive play. At home on their artificial pitch they have been really good and that´s where they will take most points this season. Gefle should be no more than 6/10 IMO and if Syrianska had lost big in the first game (which the stats indicated as they were outclasse) we would have had that price. 10/11 Is also really good.

Superettan

Trelleborg v Ängelholm

A derby in the first game in Superettan of 2012. Trelleborg were relegated from Allsvenskan last seasoon and have become huge favourites to win superettan. But it has proven to be hard for all relegated teams to get straight back into Allsvenskan. Only 8 of the 42 relegated teams since Superettan started have been able to get promotion straight away. And Trelleborg will not manage that either I predict. After being outsiders in the bottom of Allsvenskan for many years, Trelleborg won´t be used to be favourites.

Ängelholm came 3rd in Superettan last season and almot won promotion to Allsvenskan. In the qualification game against Syrianska they won 2-1 at home and were 1-2 down away in the 2nd leg and everyone thought it would be extra time. But Ängelholm got a man sent of in the 82nd minutes and lost to a 90 minute goal for Syrianska.

Tis season noone believes in Ängelholm but that´s how they like it. In this derby I think they will win and 3/1 is too big. A great bet IMO, but as it is the first round I recommend smaller bets.