Weekend bets

Quite a few interesting bets this weekend, especially in Spain. I am laying most focus on spain now in the beginning of the seasons as I watch some games from their leagues every week. And because PL is too over analyzed (and quite boring).

 

But I will start with something bigger, the CL group stage. Here are some thoughts from me.

 

Group A:

PSG with Zlatan and more good players must have a great chance here. Them and Kiev are my bets here. I don´t believe in Porto at all and Zagreb are too weak.

 

Group B:

Not so easy for Arsenal as it might seem at first glance. Schalke are not a bad team and Olympiakos will be hard to beat. Montpellier should find the others too tough but might steal a point here and there which could decide the fate for the 3 other teams.

 

Group C:

Milann and Malaga should go hrough easily. Zenit might be close but Anderlecht will find this group too hard and might finish on 0 points. Malaga is my bet to win the group.

 

Group D:

What agroup. Real Madrid should go through but Man C, Dortmund and Ajax could all beat them at home and this will be a tight group. Look for Dortmund to go through.

 

Group E:

Chelsea and Juve without a doubt. Nordsjaelland have done it great to get this far and with two big teams in the group they will give their fans some great games, but won´t get many points at all. Shaktar is weak too IMO.

 

group F:

Equally easy to predict the teams going though. bayern and Valencia are way too strong for Lille and bate.

 

group G:

barcelona are one of the luckier teams when it comes to CL draws and benfica, Celtic and Spartak moscow are a lucky draw again for the spanish side. benfica should clinch 2nd spot, but Spartak might upset and take it from them.

 

Group H:

One team is usually luckier than Barcelona and they play here. man Utd always get an easy group draw and they should win the group easily as Cluj, Braga and gala all are crap sides (compared to ther sides in the draw. If Man Utd had been drawn in any other gruoup they would not have won it. If they don´t win this they are useless.

 

 

OK, My weekend thoughts. Starting with Primera division:

valencia are a chance bet at the huge prices offered. OK, barcelona are better but they lost the supercup midweek and have not impressed so far. valencia could grab a point here and +1 is my major bet, but even +2 is at good value.

 

Mallorca are a side I like so far. They were good away to Malaga and now play at home to Sociedad, who really have played poor so far.

 

Deportivo are great newcomers who have impressed me. A great draw in Valenca last week and now they meet Getafe, who will be overrated after beating Real last week.

 

levante and valladolid are two other possible bets. Levante face Espanyol and they have been awful so far and so has Bilbao who play at home to Valladolid, who have won both games. No way Valladolid should be priced so high!

 

 

In segunda I have many possible bets but give you my favourite ones:

Almeria - keep following them until they lose. Great so far and now face real Madrid Castilla, who have proven to be not so good. But Real madrid castilla are overrated by bookies so we get great prices on almeria.

 

murcia were really good last week, when beating Gijon even though they had a player sent off. This week they play at home to Huesca, who didn´t look good at home to Numancia last week. Over evens is really good on Murcia.

 

xerez played well against Almeria last week and should easily beat Mirandés, who have struggled a lot as newcomers in Segunda so far.

 

Elche take on Las Palmas at home. Elche played well in the derby against Hercules last week and even though las Palmas were good away in the first round,they were bad against lugo and will struggle here.

 

Other bets could be hercules, who are overpriced at alcorcon, Villareal (should win big against Guadalajara) and Girona. But Girona ytake on Ponferradina and maybe Girona are a bit underpriced thanks to the huge win last week.

 

Five possible bets in Segunda B:

Reus D

St Andreu

cartagena

Cadiz

albacete

Especially the last two are worth bets!

 

If you get to bet on Tercera group 13, these 2 teams will win on the first weekend.

Mar Menor (should beat Bullense by a lot)

La Hoya (Totana are too weak)

 

My trebles:

banker treble

Albacete

xerez

Villareal

7/2 /(4,61)

 

 

Almost banker:

Almeria

mallorca

Elche

13/2 (7,81)

 

 

Chance:

WBA

Valladolid

hercules

36/1 (36,91)

 

GOOD LUCK!!