weekend bets

I had some great ideas midweek but were really unlucky with my trebles. First I just have to say that Jaén won 2-0. This was one of the better bets I have had in a long time and 11/10 (2,10) really was the bet of the week, as I wrote on twitter. On twitter I had a tuessday treble with Almeria, Alcorcon and England. But as usual England are crap when they should win a game and they let me down (not only me I expect). On my banker treble Alaves and Jaen won, but cadiz missed and my chance treble was really close. Sporting and Eibar won but Albacete just got a draw (and lost on penalties).

 

Cordoba beat Elche, as I predicted, while racing and Sporting both won and maybe they will carry that in to the Segunda games this weekend!? Ponferradina surprised hugely against Villarreal. After losing 0-1 at home in the Segunda in the weekend, they won 2-0 away at Villarreal last night.

 

I just have to repeat what I wrote on Tuesday; “Jaén are my bankers in the cup this week….. SUPERODDS  on them!!”

 

But now it is time for the weekend betting. I will start in Primera and the big game of the weekend.

Sevilla are overpriced against a Real Madrid side, who have not looked really good so far and has Ronaldo, who obviously has some problems. Maybe the rumours in Spain is true and he will leave Real and join Manchester C in January or next summer? Sevilla have started the season ok with a win in the only home game (against Getafe) and two away draws. They have a chance of a top 4 position this season, fighting against Valencia and Malaga (if I guess correctly). Real only drew at home to Valencia and then lost away to Getafe before winning their first game of the season at home to Granada. They are vulnerable at the start of the season and if Sevilla dare to go for it, they can win. At 4/1 (5,00) they are worth a shot anyway and I will also try the +1 handicap at a good price.

 

Mallorca is my pet team so far this season. They have looked good defensively and have a few really good players in attack. This week they face Osasuna, An osasuna side that have stated really poor. OK they got a decent result against Barcelona at home, but they are without points so far and have a 1-6 goaldifference. Mallorca should not be priced over 6/4 (2,50) IMO but are found at 23/10 (3,30) a really god price and a definite bet.

 

Malaga and atletico Madrid should win their games without problems. Malaga face Levante, a team that won´t repeat last seasons 6^th place. They have not been playing well so far and almost lost points at home to Espanyol last week.

Espanyol are still without points but have been close to their opponents losing all 3 games by just 1 goal. Now they play at home to Bilbao, who are overrated in the betting. They have started poorly.

 In Segunda I believe that Real Madrid Castilla once again are a home banker. They face Sabadell who beat Almeria 3-0 last weekend and Hercules 2-0 on Wednesday. But those games were both at home. Castilla should be too good for them when playing at home.

 

Almeria are IMO the most sure winners in Segunda, but are also priced too low. They face Guadalajara at home. Guadalajara started the season with a 1-1 draw at Alcorcon, but have lost all 3 games since then and will be a team that are relegated. Almeria bounced back from their big loss at Sabadell by bearing Murcia 2-0 in the cup. OK, they were a bit lucky as Murcia was the better team until a defender handed the ball to a Almeria attacker in a stupid way and gave away the 1-0 goal. Here Almeria will win, but are priced a bit low.

 

Elche lost in the cup away to Cordoba but are 100% in the league and how can they not win again as they face Sporting at home? Sporting beat Girona yesterday in the cup but in the league they have been poor.
 

Villarreal v Hercules is an interesting game. I have a feeling that Hercules could spring an upset here. I am disregarding both teams performances midweek in the cup and just look at their league form. Villarreal are unbeaten after 3 wins and a draw, while Hercules last week got their first points when beating Girona. But Hercules have been really unlucky in all games so far, they have sometimes been better than their opponents but have not had the ability to score. Now I think they will climb in the ladder and could win here against a too low priced villarreal.

Murcia should have no trouble beating newcomers Mirandés at home. Murcia were really good away to Almeria in the cup even though they lost. Racing should take their first 3-pointer at home to Recreativo and  Alcorcon could beat Cordoba at home, as Cordoba have had two really tough games the last week.

 

In segunda B I once again must go for Cartagena, who play away  to Sanluqueno, who lost in te cup, as expected.

I also like the prices on Sevilla Atl. and Orihuela this week.

In group 2 I think that Eibar are home bankers while Tenerife sHould win at home in Group A.

 

Banker treble:

Almeria

Castilla

Malaga

2,2/1 (3,21)

 

Medium treble:

Murcia
Elche
Racing

17/2 (9,45)

 

Chance:

Hercules

Mallorca

Sevilla

70/1 (71,45)

 

 

In sweden try bets on

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Frej and enkoping in div 1 N