Weekend bets

malaga - Me gustas Malaga. Great price on Malaga in CL and they won, 3-0!!

Many favourite wins in CL, but Bate, Cluj and Anderlecht surprised a bit. My bets went great, but I am disappointed in English football. Once again.

Chelsea were 2-0 up but only managed a 2-2 draw. Bad!! Manchester C were 2-1 up against Real madrid, with just a few minutes left. And lost 2-3. Awful!! This loss will be the reason that man C won´t progress to the next stage of the CL. What?, you might say. They only lost away to Real Madrid, like most teams will do. Yes, but the way they lost will be in their mind all through the competition and the insecurity will arise in the team every game. The 3-2 goal for Real should not have happened. No one will trust the idiot defender who decided not to use his head, in any sense. Absolutely awful and that is the reason I bet against them in the PL this weekend. This will be on their minds a while.

 

I also think man C could struggle next time in the CL at home to Dortmund. If Real keep up the low standard they have at the moment, then even Ajax could beat them at home in the next round.

 Otherwise the interesting games in next round are Zenit v Milan, where Zenit have a great chance to win. Porto v PSG, in which we get to see if PSG are a team that are good enough for Europe. Cluj and Bate take on top opposition in Man Utd and Bayern. I will get back on these games in 2 weeks.

Now for the weekend.

I have already stated that I bet against man C. arsenal may have played away in Europe this week, but it was just in Montpellier and they should not be priced as they are here.

Liverpool have started poorly and played in Europe on Thursday. But I think they are underrated against Manchester U. These are the games that Liverpool usually perform better in nowadays. Good price on the home team. 

Other winners in England for me are Hammers at home to Sunderland and WBA against Reading.

In lower divisions I go for a Sheffield double and a win for Bournemouth, who are priced really good

In Spain there are some good bets to be found again.

Mallorca are still unbeaten and have won both home games. Now they take on Valencia, who have not impressed so far and had a tough game midweek. I think the compilers have looked at previous seasons here and not at current form. Good home winners.

 

Espanyol were unlucky last week when almost beating Bilbao. They are getting closer to the first win and I think it will come against Betis. Betis won away last week in a tight game and that is lucky for us as it has made Betis too big favourites here.

 

Atletico Madrid were really good on Thursday in Europa league and Valladolid should be an easy match. Low price but a banker win.

 

Also look for Getafe to win away against Celta at a really good price.

In Segunda I have 4 bets to recommend

Sabadell have great form with 3 straight wins (incl. the cup game) of which 2 were at home. This week they face Xerez at home. Xerez have been awful away from home and Sabadell is a tough place to go.

 Guadalajara are last with just 1 point. They face real Madrid Castilla this week and I don´t understand how this is priced up. Castilla have lost both away games and looked confused defensively last week and I think Guadalajara will take their first 3-pointer this weekend. 

Elche have won 5 of 5 games in the league and are looking really good. They have real fighting spirit and a few players that could fit in a top division side. Offcourse the first loss is coming closer, but against Huesca they have a good chance of winning again. Huesca might be high up in the ladder but they have taken points mainly against teams out of form or that will end in the lower regions. I saw Huesca against Murcia and they will have to improve a lot to beat Elche.

 Talking about Murcia, they are my last bet in Segunda. They play away to Numancia, a team that I really don´t like as they play very negative football IMO. Numancia have drawn 3 of 5 games and have not scored in the last 3 games. They will find it tough to do that against a Murcia side, who, when they play like in the second half last week, are strong defensively and quick in attacks. Good away price.

 I know not all of you find prices in Segunda B but there are bookies who offer it and usually some of the games come up inplay (atleast at William Hill). My thoughts this weekend.

Group A:

Alcala – good price for a home win against a poor away side, Fuenlabrada. Alcala have met really good teams when playing away and that is why they have a low league position. They should end mid-table.

Avilés and Rayo B are two home teams that should win in this group too.

Group B:

Alavés could be the most sure winners this week. They are playing really good and have won all 4 games without conceding a single goal. They face Noja this week, a team that is a class under Alavés and that will show.

Eibar have found great form and could continue a good spell away to a poor Barakaldo. Barakaldo will struggle all season and I think we´ll see them in tercera next year.

Athletic B and SD Logrones are two other teams to try bets on.

Group C:

Yeclano have had some problems coming in to the Segunda B stride as newcomers. But at home they are good and even though they play top team Olympic, I think they will win and the price is really good.

Atl. Baleares face Alcoyano, who really have continued their poor season in Segunda with an awful Segunda B-season start. Atl. Baleares is a team that should finish top 5 and here they will win without a problem.

Also look for hospitalet to win.

 Group D:

Cartagena, who played in Segunda last season (and the season before where close to a shot at qualifying to Primera) have a maximum 12 points after playing some really good football. On Sunday they play at home to Loja, a team that is much weaker and have lost both away games so far. Cartagena are too quick and have to many better players and are really strong home bankers.

Jaen have still to let a goal in. They have played really well so far and even though they play Albacete, a team I think could end really high in this group, thy must be a bet again.

Almeria B are also a good side that have started he season strong. They showed that they have a few really decent players when beating UCAM last week. This week they take on cacreño at home ,the team that jaen beat without even breaking a sweat last week. Look for a big win by 3 or more goals.

In this group I also like Arroyo and cadiz this week.

 

Interesting games in the Futsal in Spain this weekend. All top tipped teams play away. Inter have the toughest game and could lose. Barcelona face a team they should beat and Murcia meet a team they will win against even with their eyes close. Maybe the first big win of the season.

I see that WH have prices on Futsal. 4/1 on Manacor is worth a shot and Murcia are a banker.

 

In Sweden it is really exciting with 8 rounds left. At the start of the season Elfsborg looked like certain league winners. I recommended bets on Häcken pre season. I hope someone followed as they now are second, just 2 points behind Elfsborg. On the same point as häcken we also find AIK and Malmö. Of these teams Häcken play the best football Imo and they score most goals of all teams in allsvenskan. 5 so far (after 22 games) while elfsborg and Malmö have scored 37 each and AIK only 30. Häcken are +23 in goaldifference, next best in Allsvenskan are elfsborg with +15.

This weekend I have bets on;

Häcken and Norrköping

 

My trebles:

Banker

Atletico Madrid

Sabadell

WBA

4/1 (4,89)

 

Medium treble

Mallorca

Hercules

Guadalajara

18/1 (18,76)

 

Chance

Espanyol
Murcia
Arsenal
71/1 (72,00)