Spanish weekend

As there are loads of international games on the card this weekend and as those games usually are overanalyzed I have focused solely on Segunda and Segunda B in Spain. I will give you my comments on all Segunda games and also share a few segunda B thoughts. No prices on those everywhere yet so I will just point you in the right direction and you have to decide for yourselves when seeing the prices.

Segunda:

Guadalajara - Ponferradina
Guadalajara are still without a win and don´t show much hope in ever getting one (I am sure they will win some games sometime). They sometimes play good, especially at home, but they lack confidence and still loses the games. Last week though they drew to Xerez, but Xerez are awful.

Ponferradina have mixed results all season, but in the last 3 games they have been really good and when a team hits form in Segunda, you should always continue trusting them until they show clear signs of losing that form.

So the bet here is on the away team at quite good prices.

 
Sabadell - Hercules
Sabadell are a really good home team, 10 points in 4 games and the goal difference 8-1 is a proof of that. If they just get a little better when on travels they could be a team that will compete for a promotion spot.

Hercules was a team that many (incl. me) thought also would be a team fighting for promotion. But after their poor start they might struggle to avoid relegation. Last week they were 2-1 up against Castilla and looked good. But then they lost 2-4. OK, Castilla again got some help from the referee but Hercules really really lousy attack was the big reason for the loss. They have created chances all season but have just scored 3 goals. Lousy! Away they haven´t scored, but all games have been close (Three 0-1 losses and a 0-0 draw).

Sabadell are banker bet here. They lost away to Ponferradina last week but at home they are really good and Hercules are really poor.

 
Castilla - Las Palmas
Castilla beat Hercules last week. They were the better team but also, as usual, had some help from the referee. One thing you can count on when Castilla play at home is that there will be goals. So far they have won 3-2 twice and lost 1-2 and 0-3.

Las Palmas are a team that will struggle to survive in Segunda and so far they have not been good.

Castilla should win, but they ar enot a team to trust too much in. y bet here is instead the over 2,5 bet. This should be an open bet and with two poor defences we could see 4-5 goals.

 
Almeria - Cordoba
An Andalusian derby where I strongly believe that the home team is the better team and will win. Almeria are one of the better teams in the Segunda. They play a really creative football and have some good players.

Cordoba are not a bad team, but they are not as good as I thought preseason. They are good at home but sometimes play too careful when playing away and that Almeria will use.

Almeria are one of the better bets this week. They will win hereand the price is too high.


Barcelona B - Sporting
Barcelona B are an Ok home team and that is wher ethey will take the big part of their points this season. I am not a big fan of this team as they sometimes look really uninterested of playing as a team. It seems like all players are too individual as they are more interested in a place in the A-squad then they are of winning games.

Sporting are a big disappointment so far. They have struggled in every game where they meet one of the better teams. But are Barcelona B one of them? I am not sure.

Stay away from betting here, at least until it comes live inplay betting. It could finish either way.

 
Villarreal - Huesca
Villarreal have started the season really good and at home they have been awesome. They have won all 4 home games. Looking at the table it might seem like the games have been close but Villarreal have won rather simply even though the scores don´t show that. Last week they lost their first game of the season, away to Sporting. But I think they are strong enough to bounce back from that and start winning again.

Huesca have been quite good away from home and they don´t seem as anxious as they do at home. They are better than their league position and could surprise here.

Villarreal have become too big favourites here. Huesca could spring a surprise and a +1 bet on them is the way I go here.

 
Girona - Recreativo
Girona have just let in 1 goal in 4 homegames and have many players that are good enough for the Primera.

Reccreativo are super strong at home. 4 wins and 11 goals scored. They are equally really lousy when playing away. Just 1 point in 4 games and 0-9 in goal difference. I can´t see them fixing those stats when visiting Girona.

This should be an easy home win. Girona score for fun when they feel like it and against a Recreativo team who are so bad on their travels they should win by a few goals.

 
Alcorcon - Mirandes
Alcorcon are a team that will finish in position 8-12. Not good enough for promotion play off and good enough to stay way clear of the bottom.

Mirandes are most famous for their cup run last season. They also won promotion to Segunda but this season they have not had so much fun. They beat Xerez by 4-0 and played well against Murcia when visiting them, but apart from those games they have shown that they are not good enough for the Segunda and I think they will be found in Segunda B again next season.

Not a game to bet much on. Neither team are anything to trust and the prices are quite uninteresting.

 
Elche - Numancia
Oh, Elche. What a good team. They are great in attack and great in defense. They already have a 5-point lead in the Segunda after losing points in just 1 game. At home they have 4 wins and 13-4 in goal difference. They are the best team by far so far this season and it will be a shame if they lose form and miss out on a spot in the Primera.

Numancia are a team that rarely are involved in games with many goals. Last week’s win against Lugo was an exception. But that was at home. Now they play away to a really strong team. Numancia always go for low scoring draws when playing away and their tactic will be a destructive goalless game.

Elche will find Numancia´s defense hard to crack but after their first goal there could be more. Elche are that good. Numancia will fight for 0-0 but look for a banker home win here. Also try bets on more goals in the second half as it might take time for Elche to start scoring.

 
Lugo - Murcia
Lugo are very up and down this season, but mainly their points have come against poorer teams.

Murcia are not a poor team. They are one of the stronger teams in the league but sometimes struggle when playing away from Nueva Condo mina. In their last two games (away to Xerez, 3-0, and home to Racing, 1-0) they have looked really strong and when playing at their best they show that they are a team that can fight for promotion.

I thought Murcia would be slight favourites, so the price is tempting. But just with small stakes.

 
Xerez - Racing
Xerez have not been good this season. They have 2 home wins, but have lost the other two homegames by a total of 0-7.

Racing are one of the teams that one week are good and next week are bad. They have found life in Segunda a bit tougher than they thought but have been playing better and better. Last week they lost away to a good Murcia side, but created many chances.

Look for an away win here. Also try Racing -1 as Xerez collapse when going a goal down at home.
Racing are a good team, better than Xerez anyway

　

 
In Segunda B I will write a little about each group and then give you the games where bets might be found and what price I wouldn´t bet under. Prices not up yet so this is NOT prices I have found at bookies, but what I think is the lowest possible price. Yes bets are only in decimal form, so suck it up Britons and learn to look at prices in this way. Decimal form is way better than your fraction way of pricing up matches. Especially when calculating accas.

Group 1:
Some interesting home wins to expect
in this group but the most interesting bet can be Salamanca, who are really good and should beat a poor Alcala side.

Possible bets:
alcala – Salamanca 2-1,90
Getafe B – Real Madrid C 1-1,60
M. de Luanco – Leganes 1-1,40
Tenerife – Athletic B 1-1,60

Group 2:Not many interesting bets here as many teams have strange form. But if you want a banker this weekend, look no further than Eibar. Reallygood team at the moment and will win.

Possible bets:eibar – Teruel 1- 1,35
Lleida – Zaragoza B 1-1,40
Sociedad B – Real Union 2-2,45

Group 4:

cartagena lost their perfect record last week after a disappointing 0-0 draw at home. Now they have some really tricky games in the upcoming weeks and the first loss might come this week against Sevilla Atl.

In this group there might be some good winners at higher prices this weekend.

Possible betsAlbacete – Villanovense 1-1,80 Linense – La Roda 1-2,00
Murcia – Cadiz 1-2,70
San Roque – Arroyo 1-1,45

Maybe I am way off in the above games when it comes to prices, but if pricing is much higher the bets offcourse are good


　

Banker treble:
eibar
Elche
Sabadell

Midprice treble:
Racing
Salamanca
Almeria

Chance treble:
Ponferradina
Murcia
Huesca

And don´t forget the over bet in the Castilla game. Should be a winning bet