My Thoughts 20 may

Taken a few days of betting after last weekened, which was very successful. Unfortunately I hav become sick instead (that´s what keeping away from betting does to you) so my thoughts today will be a bit shorter.

I have bets in Sweden, Iceland and Spain
Let´s start with Spain. where Segunda B and Tercera are into playoffs. I follow some of these divisions as I am into football in Murcia, a region where I love to spend my summers.

In the Segunda B championship, the winners of each Segunda B group plays. The semi winners are promoted and also play a game to decide who are champions of Segunda B. Murcia became that last season.

Mirandes v Atl. Baleares
Mirandes are well known due to their cup run that took them to the semis of Copa del rey after eliminitaing Espanyol, Santander, Villareal etc. They are also priced up based on that and I find value in the away team. IMO Atl. Baleares played in the tougher Group C (Teams from Valencia, Catalonia and Balearic isl.) and even though their away form hasn´t been all too good I think a handicap  bet on them is good and also a bet on them to be promoted.

Cadiz v Real Madrd Castilla
Real Madrid 2nd team always get a lot of help from referees as it seems they are afraid of the mighty Real Madrid. But here they won´t get any help. Cadiz is a good team that won the hardest Group (Group 4) and at 10/11 (1,91) they are the bet.

In the relegation playoff I recommend a bet on Lorca away to palencia. palencia were lucky to be in a group with some awful teams and should be the weaker of these two. handicap bets might be wise.

In the other promotion games in Segunda B I have picked the following bets.

Badalona v Tenerife    2 - 15/8 (2,87)
Albacete v Orihuela    1 -4/6 (1,67)


If you are lucky and find prices in tercera go for these 3 teams;

Mar Menor - really good Tercera team that have a home record of 15-3-0. Portugalete is from a weaker tercera group and are just OK, not more. Long travel from rainy Bilbao to really hot San Javier too.

La Hoya - A team from Lorca, who started the season really well and are a good hometeam. Don´t know anything about their opponents, but it is a long time sine any team from that group did anything outstanding.

yeclano - From the lovely town Yecla. This team sailed up as the best team in Group 13 during the season and they are good both home and away. They have some really good players that I think can do good in higher divisions.



Now to Iceland where I have found 2 bets;

IBV v Fylkir
IBV have started the season poorer than expected. They are better than so and came 3rd last season. Their games against Fylkir often are tight but I just ahve a feeling that Fylkir are weaker this season and IBV should start winning games soon. Why not here at 17/20 (1,85)

IA v Keflavik
IA have started brilliantly with 3 straight wins and they look really good this season. They are newcomers and maybe still valued on that. But they look sstrong and at evens (2,00) they are the bet.

Finally to Sweden where compilers finally seem to get a hang on the teams, so not so many outstanding proces this week.

Häcken v Djurgården
Häcken is the team that in single games have impressed me the most this season. 6-0 last week against Norrköping, a game where Waris scored 5 goals and now have a total of 12 in 10 games. The second best goalscorer so far is makondele, with 7 goals, he is also a Häcken player. So they have outstanding goalscorers. really impressive. Djurgården have just scored 13 goals total this season :)
At Home Häcken have won 4 of 5 games and scored 19 goals. How can poor Djurgården get anything here?? Well, they can´t. Djurgården have just 2 points from their 4 away games and here thy will lose big. Djurgården miss a few players and Häcken ouright or -1 is my tip.

örebro v Syrianska
Örebro will finally win. Syrianska miss their best player, Touma, and that makes them much weaker.

rest of the games only inplay betting is interesting.