Swedish thoughts Weekend 12-13 may

Many interesting games this weekend and I have several bets.

SATURDAY

Allsvenskan

Kalmar v Mjällby
Kalmar really are the enigas of this season. Are they good or are they really poor? At home they have just 1 win in 4 games and they have not played well all season. Now they face Mjällby who have drawn in 5 of 8 games. Mjällby have been unlucky though. They were 2-0 up away to GAIS last game when GAIS struck twice in the last minutes. They score and also let goals in o here I really believe in a game that will end with over 2,5 goals at evens (2,00). Mjällby must be the bet in this game and at 23/10 (3,30) they are worth a bet. And then why not try Mjällby and over 2,5 too :)

Djurgården v Åtvidaberg
Åtvidaberg have had it tough after their great start. 5 straight losses, but today they have a game where I think they could turn their form around in. Djurgården is not a good team at all and 9/2 (5,50) is too high on Åtvidaberg. Also try handicap bets on them.


Superettan

Varberg v Degerfors
Varberg has become one of my favourites in superettan. The point away at Hammarby was really strong and they were worth more. Degerfors took their first points of the season last week in a win against Brage. They still have much to proove before I can beieve in them though. Varberg are a good bet at 11/10 (2,10)

Halmstad v Jönöping
Halmstad are really uneven, but they have won both home games so far. But they take on the constantly underrated Jönköping, who themselves have won both away games and are unbeaten this season. Jönköping shouldn´t have had dropped points at all. Home to Öster they were 3-1 up and one man more but Öster still equalised. The game after they met Ängelholm and even though they were one man down they led 2-0, but after having another man sent off, Ängelholm could get 2-2. Bad... The players sent off are suspended but I still think Jönköpings price at 3/1 (4,00) is way too high. Try +1 too.


Division 1
Frej v Väsby
A top of the division clash and a derby as Täby (where Frej come from) and Väsby are really close. Frej are unbeaten after 4 games and have scored 12 goals. Impressive by a team that started last season really poor. They have a good team and are good enough to be promoted to Superettan. Both Frej and Väsby have played against Luleå, Enköping and Syrianska. 3 teams that are in the bottom and really poor but I still believe that these teams (together with Sirius) will be the teams fighting for promotion all season long. Frej should be just under 6/4 (2,50) and that is really good IMo as I think they are the stronger team.

Also try Qviding in Div 1 Södra



In Finland I have found a really good bet.
Inter v JJK
Inter won their first 4 games in Veikkausliiga and lost last week away to reigning champions HJK on a goal in the 90th minute. JJK are yet to meet any of the really good teams in the league and now that they do, they will lose by a few goals. Inter at 4/5 (1,80) is one of the best bets this weekend IMO.


Iceland´s 1 deild starts today and I belive that these 3 teams are teams to follow today;
Vikingur Reykjavik, Haukar, Thor.
Will be back on twitter with inplay bets as I am planning on watching Haukar v Tindastöll.


In Swedish Allsvenskan for women Tyresö and Ldb malmö must be banker bets. I also believe that Kristianstad might spring an upset.



SUNDAY

Allsvenskan

Elfsborg v AIK
OK, AIK are unbeaten after 3 wins and 5 draws, but Elfsborg have won 7 of their 8 games and just lost away to Helsingborg. Elfsborg have scored 16 goals (AIK 7) and have proven to be the best team in Sweden at the moment. If they play like they have so far they will be the first team to beat AIK this season and 3/4 (1,75) is good IMO

Helsingborg v Häcken
A velue bet. 11/4 (3,75) is too high on Häcken, who are much better than the compilers seem to think. Helsingboerg are weaker than last season  and here I go for the value.


Superettan

Värnamo v Hammarby
Hammar by dropped their first points last week at home to varberg. Värnamo have just 1 point in 5 games. So why are hammarby 11/10 (2,10). Hammarby are so much better and I think they are so much better and this is the best Swedish bet this weekend.

Umeå v öster
Öster are one of the 4-5 best teams in Superettan, Umeå are not. Öster will continue their unbeaten run and 21/20 is really good IMO.



As usual you might find higher prices than the ones I have written. But I follow WillHills prices on this blog.