10 maj 2013

ESC 2013

After listening through all ESC songs I have a few betting ideas:

Lets start with semi 1:

Denmark are huge favourties. can´t see why. A bland, qute boring song with a singer that also looks bland. They will qualify for the final but no top 5 spot there for me.

3 songs stick out in the first semi;

Holland send Anouk - remember her "Nobody´s wife", that was a huge hit in Europe. After that she has kept her popularity in central Europe and a big name always get votes from old fans. 8/1 to win the semi.

I also like Ireland, who for once haven´t sent the most hated people in Europe (hedward that is) and this time they can go far. 20/1 to win semi is a small bet.

Belgium is better than the prices show. They wont win, I guess, but 2/1 to qualify is a bet for me.



2nd semi:

A much more boring semi. Can´t find a winner and none if these will end high in the final. Iceland 4/5 to qualify may be the only bet IMO.



Other songs:

In the songs qualified for the final we find some interesting stuff :)

Swedens song is so crap that if we hadn´t won last year and had to compete in a semi, Sweden wouldn´t reach the final. Poor singer with more lousy english pronounciation than the eastern block countries. Just annoying shit.

Gb send Bonnie Tyler. Once again they think that a big name will help them to success. Well, Bonnie without Jim Steinman writing songs is just like Meatloaf without the samr. Really boring and more like her 70´s style, when "It´s a heartbreak was a hit". I don´t think that Bonnie is big enough in Europe to get England in the top half.

Spain sends something bigger and more contemporary. One of he biggest groups in Spain is El Sueño de morfeo and Raquel de Rosario (formerly married to F1-driver Alonso) is one of the most sought after duet partners in Spain and has appeared on loads of huge hits.
She sings well, she looks good, the group is popular and really strong. They are the biig outsiders this year. Unfortunately there aren´t too many Spanish speaking countries in Europe, because in those ESdM are gigantic.



So my bets to win final:

Holland 25/1
Ireland 50/1
Spain 125/1
Belgium 150/1

bet Eachway on all as you get 1/4 of the odds if they come top 4.