Weekend bets

WOW, what a friday. The Futsal ended 2-2 (big surprise) and Granada won :) Let´s keep it up with good bets for the rest of the weekend.


Primera:

The most interesting bets are 3 outsiders.
Celta 3,00 (2/1) travel to Vallecano to try and get the first away points this season and I think they will manange. vallecano are not a good team and Celta are overpriced. They have won on their last two visits to Vallecano

Deportivo 3,60(13/5) travel to Zaragoza. Depor have drawn 3 of their 5 away games and a draw is close this time too but I have a feeling that Deportivo can senak a win. When these teams meet there are never many goals, just 1 of the last 10 meetings have been over 2,5. So unders is a bet too.

Levante 11,00 (10/1) knows how to stop Real Madrid at home. The last three meetings here have ended 1-0, 2-0, 0-0. Levante are a good home side (4-1-0) and are just 3 points behind Real in the table. Still we get 10/1. Try handicaps +1 and +2 too.

I also think malaga, Valencia and Sevilla will win but prices are bit short.


Segunda

Sabadell 1,95 (19/20) had good form a while back but have not won in 6 games. But today they face a Huesca side with even worse form. Not a win in 8 games and with problems scoring. Sabadell are a team that are good enough to ficish top 6 and must start winning again.

Almeria 4/6 (1,67) are one ofth ebest Segunda teams this season. At home they are 5-1-0 wih 11-1 in goals. They play newcomers Mirandes, who have done it well in Segunda but will be too weak to upset Almeria. Their only away win came against Xerez in the beginning if the season. One of the banker bets this weekend.

Alcorcon 1,60 (6/10) are also a really good home team, losing points only to Guadalajra in the first week of the season. Lugo beat Elche last week but awaythey have only scored twice in 6 games and they won´t stand a chance here. Banker bet.

Murcia 6,00 (5/1) are overpriced away to Villarreal. Yes, Villarreal are a good hometeam (5-1-0) but after a great start to the season they have played poorly with just 1 win in the 5 latest games. Murcia are not world beaters away from home but their are overpriced today.


I was also thinking about Xerez to beat a Elche side that are a bit out of form, but the prices are too low. Girona and Guadalajara are worth a look too.



Segunda B group 1

Coruxo 3,10 (21/10) have been good at home (4-1-0) and are overpriced against league leaders Tenerife. Tenerife are not that good so they will keep on beaing undeaten and I think coruxo will get at least 1 point at a good price.

Fuenlabrada v Zamora to draw 3,40 (12/5) is a fun bet. Fuenlabrada have dran 3 of their 5 home games while Zamora have drawn 9 of their 11 games this season. As the home team is the better team I am sure Zamora will be happy eith a draw agian.

Other possible bets are Salamanca and Vallecano II



Segunda B Group 2

No great bets. Eibar and Lleida should win but are a tad short.



Segunda B group 3

Orihuela 2,50 (6/4) is my only bet. Theya re better than they have shown and won a cup game midweek and the last laague game and may carry the momentum over to this game at home to a really poor Constancia.

Other possible bets in this group are Gimnastic and Mallorca B



Segunda B group 4

San Roque 1,91 (19/20) are one of the best bets this weekend. They are great at home. Won all 5 games and 11-1 in goals. 9 of their 11 goals have been scored in the 2nd half so don´t worry if they aren´t leading at HT. Almeria B are a decent side but will find this game too tough.

Other price bets are Sevilla B and UCAM.
Loja, cartagena and Albacete all should win too but the prices are too short.




Banker treble:
San Roque
Alcorcon
Almeria
5,09 (4,1/1)


Midpriced treble
orihuela
Sabadell
Huelva
16,08 (15/1)

Friday bets

Just 2 value bets today. Let´s start with Futsal

Czech rep v Serbia  - a draw at 5,50 (9/2)
Why bet a  draw in the Futsal WC. you might ask. Well. Serbia has been the best team in the group so far and have won both games so far. Egypt and Czechs have a win each and Kuwait are worthless on 0 points so far and will lose to Egypt today.
That leaves Egypt on 6 points. If the serbs grab a point they will win the group and get to face Argentina in the next round. A second place in the group will have them face Russia (most probably). If 2 or more teams end up on the same point then goaldifference in the group decides where the teamms end and a Egypt will win by a lot, a loss would put Serbia 2nd. So Serbia will go for points.
A loss for Czechs would eliminate them from the WC as they won´t become one of the 4 best 3rd placed teams. A draw puts them through.
The Czechs would most likely have to win by 6 goals to get any better than 3rd in this group

So to sum this up.
A draw in the game gives Serbia first spot and the Czechs go through. Both teams happy and as these teams should be quite evenly matched anyway the draw is a likely outcome and priced too high at 9/2 (5,50)



Granda 5,50 (7/2)
Granada are better than their league position. They have started to score goals in every game and will climb a bit in th etable. Betis have been the better team so far but find it hard to be really dominant at home, winning 3 and losing 2 so far scoring just 7 goals.
Granada have a good attacking game and I think they have a bigger chance of scoring and winning than the prices indicate.