Once again I go to Spanish Futsal for my bet. Last years 2nd placed team ElPozo Murcia have started the season with a last minute win in the derby against jumilla and after that an easy homewin. Today they travel to Jaen (not far away) and will win again. Jaén have just 1 point so far after drawing at poor Levante (Levante´s only point after 3 games, so they are poor) and a loss to champions Inter Movistar. jaén just lost by one goal against Inter but ElPozo have looked better than Inter this season and I am not betting the handicap (even though I believe ElPozo will win by more than 2 goals)
My BOTD is ElPozo Murcia 1,50 (1/2) in Spanish Futsal
26 september 2015
20 september 2015
Bet of the day September 20
Took a few days of the heavy betting as form was bad and time was not much I had.
But today I am back with a GREAT BOTD. Only Bet365 offer prices ut their compilers must have been drunk when pricing this game up.
Lorca Deportivo are newly promoted to Tercera Grp 13 after winning the preferente last season. They have started their season with 3 straight wins but they have played some of the weakest teams in the group, including fellow newly promoted Pupileno (who have 0 points and 0 scored this season).
Today they take on Aguilas. A team that always end top 4 and should do so this season too. As most teams (almost all) in this group are from Murcia, all games are kind of derbied as Murcia is a sall region. BUT..this is more a derby than many as Lorca and Aguilas are really close and Aguilas is where people from Lorca usually go to get to the beach,
Aguilas have also started with 3 wins and look stronger. Here I think compilers think Lorca Deportivo is La Hoya Lorca (who play in segunda B). Then the prices would be ok, now they are so massively wrong. 9/2 (5,50) on Aguilas is MADNESS! They should be favourites in this game
BOTD Aguilas 9/2 (5,50)
But today I am back with a GREAT BOTD. Only Bet365 offer prices ut their compilers must have been drunk when pricing this game up.
Lorca Deportivo are newly promoted to Tercera Grp 13 after winning the preferente last season. They have started their season with 3 straight wins but they have played some of the weakest teams in the group, including fellow newly promoted Pupileno (who have 0 points and 0 scored this season).
Today they take on Aguilas. A team that always end top 4 and should do so this season too. As most teams (almost all) in this group are from Murcia, all games are kind of derbied as Murcia is a sall region. BUT..this is more a derby than many as Lorca and Aguilas are really close and Aguilas is where people from Lorca usually go to get to the beach,
Aguilas have also started with 3 wins and look stronger. Here I think compilers think Lorca Deportivo is La Hoya Lorca (who play in segunda B). Then the prices would be ok, now they are so massively wrong. 9/2 (5,50) on Aguilas is MADNESS! They should be favourites in this game
BOTD Aguilas 9/2 (5,50)
13 september 2015
Bet of the day September 13
Crappy Blades yesterday. Awful performance. I need some more luck on my bets so I go back to Spain Segunda B grp 4 and La Hoya Lorca.
They play away at midday to Melilla. Melilla have been poor so far with just 1 point in 3 games while La Hoya lead the division, ,are unbeaten and have 4-0 in goals. Still though the bookies underrate La Hoya. probably on their poor season last time, but the season before they played off for a place in Segunda as newcomers in Segunda B.
19/10 is so wrong. La Hoya should be favourites.
BOTD LA Hoya 19/10
They play away at midday to Melilla. Melilla have been poor so far with just 1 point in 3 games while La Hoya lead the division, ,are unbeaten and have 4-0 in goals. Still though the bookies underrate La Hoya. probably on their poor season last time, but the season before they played off for a place in Segunda as newcomers in Segunda B.
19/10 is so wrong. La Hoya should be favourites.
BOTD LA Hoya 19/10
12 september 2015
Bet of the day September 12
Many good bets today but no really outstanding. a few possible handicap bets in games where the best team have underperformed so far; Real Madrid and Chelsea are two that could win -1 or more.
My BOTD is in League 1 in England. Sheffield United lost 0-4 away at Gillingham in the season opener. But forget that. After that they have been perfect and in the last 4 league games they have conceded only 1 goal.
Bury are a promoted side and won their first game of the season last time out. OK, that was away at Walsall, so it was a good result, but they have no chance against a Blades side who will be promoted and are in great shape. Sheffield Utd also never loses to Buy. Last loss was back in 1928 and Blades should not be the price they are. &710 would have been good too, but now they are almost evens.
BOTD: Sheffield United 9/10 (1,90)
My BOTD is in League 1 in England. Sheffield United lost 0-4 away at Gillingham in the season opener. But forget that. After that they have been perfect and in the last 4 league games they have conceded only 1 goal.
Bury are a promoted side and won their first game of the season last time out. OK, that was away at Walsall, so it was a good result, but they have no chance against a Blades side who will be promoted and are in great shape. Sheffield Utd also never loses to Buy. Last loss was back in 1928 and Blades should not be the price they are. &710 would have been good too, but now they are almost evens.
BOTD: Sheffield United 9/10 (1,90)
11 september 2015
Bet of the Day September 11
After taking a few days away from betting I am back and there are loads of bets to look at this weekend. NRLs playoff starts in Australia, NFL started last night and in Spain the Futsal finally starts. And even though Norrköping, Sevilla and especially Ipswich look good today I pick my BOTD in the Futsal :)
I think Manacor will surprise today. Barcelona should win quite easily and Elche are winners are winners for me.
But BOTD will be in the Murcia region derby between Jumilla and ElPozo Murcia
ElPozo are one of the strongest teams in Spain and last season lost in the final against Inter Movistar (who later went on to be European champions). They usually beat Jumilla by many goals, earlier this summer they won 5-1 and today they will win by more. Big class difference between these. Murcia should score 7 or 8 While Jumilla should be happy by getting 2. So -3,5 is a BOTD
ElPozo Murcia -3,5 6/10
I think Manacor will surprise today. Barcelona should win quite easily and Elche are winners are winners for me.
But BOTD will be in the Murcia region derby between Jumilla and ElPozo Murcia
ElPozo are one of the strongest teams in Spain and last season lost in the final against Inter Movistar (who later went on to be European champions). They usually beat Jumilla by many goals, earlier this summer they won 5-1 and today they will win by more. Big class difference between these. Murcia should score 7 or 8 While Jumilla should be happy by getting 2. So -3,5 is a BOTD
ElPozo Murcia -3,5 6/10
08 september 2015
Bet of the Day september 8
My favourite competition is on today again. Copa federacion in Spain. Was hoping for more bookie sto price this game up but will share my bet now as I think bookies who have priced it up might lower their prices.
Calahorra 6/4 (2,50)
Calahorra is a good Tercera side and they are outstanding at home. They have 6 straight at home without conceding a goal. They have just 2 losses at home the last 3 years In that time they have played 58 home games, winning 44 and drawing 12.
22 straight at home without a loss (of which 20 were won) and a total goal difference of 60-7 in those games.
Today they take on Logrones. This is not Segunda B-side Logrones but instead the tercera team. Last season Calahorra beat them 2-0 at homee and they will win again. They are a much stronger team when they play at home and the price is too high. I wouldn´t price them over evens (2.00)
Calahorra 6/4 (2,50)
Calahorra is a good Tercera side and they are outstanding at home. They have 6 straight at home without conceding a goal. They have just 2 losses at home the last 3 years In that time they have played 58 home games, winning 44 and drawing 12.
22 straight at home without a loss (of which 20 were won) and a total goal difference of 60-7 in those games.
Today they take on Logrones. This is not Segunda B-side Logrones but instead the tercera team. Last season Calahorra beat them 2-0 at homee and they will win again. They are a much stronger team when they play at home and the price is too high. I wouldn´t price them over evens (2.00)
07 september 2015
Bet of the day September 7
Eurobasket is on and after 2 rounds I dare to bet on it. Reigning champions France play at home but started poor against Finland, who they needed OT to beat. OK, in the OT France smashed Finland. They then went on to humiliate Bosnia winning by 27 points. Today they take on Poland, who also are unbeaten. They first beat Bosnia by 4 points and then Russia by 3 points. They were 8 points up close to the end and Russia almost managed to eat that up.
France clearly is the better team. They have beaten Poland in all 7 Eurobasket meetings. They play at home and want to show their fans once again that the Finland games was a one-off game. Polands win against Russia must not be overrated. Russia came in to this tournament with loads of problems and actually lost to poor Israel in the first game.
I thin France once again could win with 20+ points and the -14,5 handicap on them looks a great bet.
FRANCE -14,5
In the football I would go fo Romania, Ireland and Denmark today
France clearly is the better team. They have beaten Poland in all 7 Eurobasket meetings. They play at home and want to show their fans once again that the Finland games was a one-off game. Polands win against Russia must not be overrated. Russia came in to this tournament with loads of problems and actually lost to poor Israel in the first game.
I thin France once again could win with 20+ points and the -14,5 handicap on them looks a great bet.
FRANCE -14,5
In the football I would go fo Romania, Ireland and Denmark today
06 september 2015
Bet of the day September 6
Numancia only managed a draw yesterday and my BOTD keeps letting me down. Today there are so many good bets so I find it hard to find the best of them. Netherlands, Wales, Ponferradina, La Hoya, Hercules and Cartagena are all bets but the one I make my BOTD of these are
WALES 1,90 (9/10)
Wales are unbeaten in the group and a win today would give them a place in Euro 2016. Israel is a weaker team and are in third place in the group only because the group (apart from belgium and wales) is really weak. Wales beat Israel easy in Israel and as Bale is looking really good for them at the moment he will lead then to another victory. The bet on Bale to score and wales to win is also tempting.
WALES 1,90 (9/10)
Wales are unbeaten in the group and a win today would give them a place in Euro 2016. Israel is a weaker team and are in third place in the group only because the group (apart from belgium and wales) is really weak. Wales beat Israel easy in Israel and as Bale is looking really good for them at the moment he will lead then to another victory. The bet on Bale to score and wales to win is also tempting.
05 september 2015
Bet of the Day September 5
Ouch, what a bad BOTD it was yesterday. Hungary going for a win? Well they could have fooled me. Neither team seemed to want to win and Hungary might now have lost the chance to end top 2 in the group. Poor.
Today I go back to my favourite country and have found a BOTD in Segunda.
Numancia have started the season really well. They have won both games and scored 9 goals while going that. Last week they were good against a Girona side that many tip as a promotion contender. Today they play at home against Elche. And I think bookies stare themselves blind at the fact that Elche played in Primera last season and was forcefully relegated due to economic reasons. But this is in a way a totally new Elche. As they were relegated many contracts were annulled and the best players left the squad and due to the financial problems, Elche ar playing in a much smaller sea this season without any promotion hopes or plans.
Numancia should not be priced over 1,80 (4/5) but are as high as 2,20 (6/5) and this is a great BOTD
BOTD is NUMANCIA in Segunda
Other Spanish bets to have a look at are Huesca, Nastic, Ucam Murcia and a small outside bet on San Roque
Today I go back to my favourite country and have found a BOTD in Segunda.
Numancia have started the season really well. They have won both games and scored 9 goals while going that. Last week they were good against a Girona side that many tip as a promotion contender. Today they play at home against Elche. And I think bookies stare themselves blind at the fact that Elche played in Primera last season and was forcefully relegated due to economic reasons. But this is in a way a totally new Elche. As they were relegated many contracts were annulled and the best players left the squad and due to the financial problems, Elche ar playing in a much smaller sea this season without any promotion hopes or plans.
Numancia should not be priced over 1,80 (4/5) but are as high as 2,20 (6/5) and this is a great BOTD
BOTD is NUMANCIA in Segunda
Other Spanish bets to have a look at are Huesca, Nastic, Ucam Murcia and a small outside bet on San Roque
04 september 2015
Bet of the day September 4
A good decision not to bet yesterday. Today I am looking at the Euro 2016 qualifiers and have a good and maybe surprising BOTD today.
Group F hasn´t really been the most fun qualification group. Romania lead after being unbeaten in their 6 games and with a 7-1 goal record. Hungary are 3rd and in their games just 8 goals has been scored too. Today Romania take the short trip to Hungary, the only team that have scored against Romania in this group. And everything points to yet another boring Unders game. Apart from one thing. The hungarian coach has gone out and said this is a must-win game as a loss could put them 5 points from Northern ireland in the 2nd spot. Romania on the other hand are surely interested in a draw but if they get the chance to scoree and win they could be 6 points ahead in the group with just 3 games left and almost certainly have secured their Euro 2016-place.
Hungary recently played Lithuania in a friendly. Easier opposition offcourse but they had a 4-0 lead at halftime with goals from 4 different scorers. They made many changes at half time and the second half was weaker. But it showed that Hungary can play good attacking football and have players who can score. And as Hungary will press for a win it will open them up for attacks from Romania. This could lead to a game with overs on the goal. And as some bookies offer 2,80 (14/5) I will jump on it. Now we are in the closing stages in the groups and teams need to do all to win
BOTD:
Hungary v Romania OVER 2,5 goals
Group F hasn´t really been the most fun qualification group. Romania lead after being unbeaten in their 6 games and with a 7-1 goal record. Hungary are 3rd and in their games just 8 goals has been scored too. Today Romania take the short trip to Hungary, the only team that have scored against Romania in this group. And everything points to yet another boring Unders game. Apart from one thing. The hungarian coach has gone out and said this is a must-win game as a loss could put them 5 points from Northern ireland in the 2nd spot. Romania on the other hand are surely interested in a draw but if they get the chance to scoree and win they could be 6 points ahead in the group with just 3 games left and almost certainly have secured their Euro 2016-place.
Hungary recently played Lithuania in a friendly. Easier opposition offcourse but they had a 4-0 lead at halftime with goals from 4 different scorers. They made many changes at half time and the second half was weaker. But it showed that Hungary can play good attacking football and have players who can score. And as Hungary will press for a win it will open them up for attacks from Romania. This could lead to a game with overs on the goal. And as some bookies offer 2,80 (14/5) I will jump on it. Now we are in the closing stages in the groups and teams need to do all to win
BOTD:
Hungary v Romania OVER 2,5 goals
03 september 2015
No BOTD today
yesterday was a good day for those who went on Castellon+1. They were the better team in a 1-1 draw and eventually won on penalties.
Today I find no BOTD. Not so many interesting bets to be made at all. I find teams that are unbetable but I don´t feel that their opponents are certain winners either, or the prices on +1 etc are too bad.
Wales, Holland and Belgium are too big favourites, but they might all still win. In Asia almost all favourites are too big but I feel no confidence in their opponents either.
So, today I don´t bet at all. But I have already found 2 great BOTD:s for the weekend
Today I find no BOTD. Not so many interesting bets to be made at all. I find teams that are unbetable but I don´t feel that their opponents are certain winners either, or the prices on +1 etc are too bad.
Wales, Holland and Belgium are too big favourites, but they might all still win. In Asia almost all favourites are too big but I feel no confidence in their opponents either.
So, today I don´t bet at all. But I have already found 2 great BOTD:s for the weekend
02 september 2015
Bet of the Day September 2
What is this? Why are the betting gods against me? After the first two sets Berdych were 12-5 up in games. That meant that he could lose up to 3 games in the third set and the BOTD would have won. The third set was Quick up to 5-1 for Berdych. His opponent was to serve and normally when a top 10 player leads 2-0 in sets and 5-1 in games against an opponent more than 100 ranking steps behind, the top pplayer breaks and the pain is over. But Frantangelo held his serve. Berdych was then to serve for a 6-2 win. Fratangelo had only had 6 break Points in the whole game and hadn´t broken Berdych´s serve once. But now he did. MADNESS. 5-3 nd Fratangelo was to serve in what became almost the longest game in the match. Fratangelo had advantage and then did double faults over and over again. But finally Fratangelo won the game and went to 5-4. Now Berdych felt the pressure and took care of the game winning 6-4 without losing a Point in the last game. 18-9 in games and the BOTD lost and I feel robbed again.
Today I go back to Spanish football where I feel a bit more at home :)
Copa del Rey time for the teams in Segunda B and some Tercera teams and it is a Tercera team I will bet on.
Last season Castellon won their tercera Group but lost first in the Championship finals against Linares and then lost on penalties aginst Haro in the Play off-semis. Earlier last season they did win the Copa federacion and Castellon is a team for bigger divisions than Tercera. CAstellon is a big Town in northern Comunidad Valencia and actually have played 11 seasons in Primera division (last was 90-91). Castellon hav big ambitions and after being out of the cup for several years they now want to show how good they are. And they get to meet Sabadell, who fell out of Segunda last season. Ending up in Segunda B and trying to get back to Segunda is hard. Many teams have failed and Sabadell shall not be overrated for being a former segunda team. They have started the season in an OK way, nothing more, and usually they haven´t really been a good CdR-team.
IMO Castellon have been underrated as they play in Tercera but IMO, there isn´t much between these two teams this season. I have no team news to go by this early in the day, but if I read correctly Castellon say they are focusing on this game and I Think the 4/1 (5,00) offered is way too high. William Hill offer this price and I Think that is a bet. I would have preferred +1 but that isnt offered yet and may not be until inplay. But if you find Castellon+1 at more than 6/4, then jump on it. My BOTD will be
CASTELLON 4/1 (5,00)
Today I go back to Spanish football where I feel a bit more at home :)
Copa del Rey time for the teams in Segunda B and some Tercera teams and it is a Tercera team I will bet on.
Last season Castellon won their tercera Group but lost first in the Championship finals against Linares and then lost on penalties aginst Haro in the Play off-semis. Earlier last season they did win the Copa federacion and Castellon is a team for bigger divisions than Tercera. CAstellon is a big Town in northern Comunidad Valencia and actually have played 11 seasons in Primera division (last was 90-91). Castellon hav big ambitions and after being out of the cup for several years they now want to show how good they are. And they get to meet Sabadell, who fell out of Segunda last season. Ending up in Segunda B and trying to get back to Segunda is hard. Many teams have failed and Sabadell shall not be overrated for being a former segunda team. They have started the season in an OK way, nothing more, and usually they haven´t really been a good CdR-team.
IMO Castellon have been underrated as they play in Tercera but IMO, there isn´t much between these two teams this season. I have no team news to go by this early in the day, but if I read correctly Castellon say they are focusing on this game and I Think the 4/1 (5,00) offered is way too high. William Hill offer this price and I Think that is a bet. I would have preferred +1 but that isnt offered yet and may not be until inplay. But if you find Castellon+1 at more than 6/4, then jump on it. My BOTD will be
CASTELLON 4/1 (5,00)
01 september 2015
Bet of the day September 1
I felt robbed last night. Eskilstuna were 2-0 up after 22 minutes. Had a total of 27 shots on goal, but only managed a 3-0 win. After a quarter of a game I was sure they wwould Cruise to a big win, but no. Price good though sank to 2,10 pregame, so anyone on from the start could have made a surebet.
Today I find very Little at good prices. The JPT is on, but it so hard to find anythin really good. Hartlepool are resting players so Sheffield U could be a bet, but are they really interested of this competition?
In Tercera Palencia are a banker if you want to play that.
But BOTD is in the US OPEN
BERDYCH -9,5 games
Berdych is a top player. Fratangelo isn´t. Berdych will win 3-0, no doubt about that and I also thinsk he wants to win Quick and painless. My guess is that fratangelo will be lucky to get 7 games, and that still isnt enough.
1,98 on this at Unibet (almost evens)
Today I find very Little at good prices. The JPT is on, but it so hard to find anythin really good. Hartlepool are resting players so Sheffield U could be a bet, but are they really interested of this competition?
In Tercera Palencia are a banker if you want to play that.
But BOTD is in the US OPEN
BERDYCH -9,5 games
Berdych is a top player. Fratangelo isn´t. Berdych will win 3-0, no doubt about that and I also thinsk he wants to win Quick and painless. My guess is that fratangelo will be lucky to get 7 games, and that still isnt enough.
1,98 on this at Unibet (almost evens)
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