09 november 2012

Friday bets

Just 2 value bets today. Let´s start with Futsal

Czech rep v Serbia  - a draw at 5,50 (9/2)
Why bet a  draw in the Futsal WC. you might ask. Well. Serbia has been the best team in the group so far and have won both games so far. Egypt and Czechs have a win each and Kuwait are worthless on 0 points so far and will lose to Egypt today.
That leaves Egypt on 6 points. If the serbs grab a point they will win the group and get to face Argentina in the next round. A second place in the group will have them face Russia (most probably). If 2 or more teams end up on the same point then goaldifference in the group decides where the teamms end and a Egypt will win by a lot, a loss would put Serbia 2nd. So Serbia will go for points.
A loss for Czechs would eliminate them from the WC as they won´t become one of the 4 best 3rd placed teams. A draw puts them through.
The Czechs would most likely have to win by 6 goals to get any better than 3rd in this group

So to sum this up.
A draw in the game gives Serbia first spot and the Czechs go through. Both teams happy and as these teams should be quite evenly matched anyway the draw is a likely outcome and priced too high at 9/2 (5,50)



Granda 5,50 (7/2)
Granada are better than their league position. They have started to score goals in every game and will climb a bit in th etable. Betis have been the better team so far but find it hard to be really dominant at home, winning 3 and losing 2 so far scoring just 7 goals.
Granada have a good attacking game and I think they have a bigger chance of scoring and winning than the prices indicate.

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