Sunday thoughts

I have been away most of the week and haven´t had time to write longer analysis of the games this weekend, but here are my sunday bets with some short comments.

Sociedad 3,60 (13/5)
Sociedad play hosts to Atl. madrid, who really have been good this season. Atletico can actually go on and challenge for a spot in the top 2 if they carry on. Here they have won on their last 2 visits scoring 4 goals each time.
So why do I bet against them? because Sociedad have been really good at home so far, winning all 3 games played. They also have won 10 of their last 13 homegames (10-2-1). AND Atletico have just met Betis, Espanyol and Levante on away turf this season and neither of those teams (even though Betis are high in the league) are so impressive. Tougher now against a really good home team and the price is too high on Sociedad.

Granada 1,91 (10/11)
I like Granada and their quick rise from Segunda B to a decent Primera team. They are Ok at home and against a poor Zaragoza side they should win comfortably.

Huelva 2,80 (9/5)
Huelva have won all 4 home games this season and were really good when beating Murcia and Alcorcon. Villareal have started the season good, but in the last couple of games been quite poor. Away they have 1 win and 2 losses in 4 games and they will ind the trip to Huelva tough.
Wrong favourite here IMO.

Murcia 2,80 (9/5)
Almost a derby as Murcia is really close to Elche (less than 60 km) so maybe there will be many spectators from both sides at the wonderful Nueva Condomina. Murcia are unbeaten at home and some times play as good as the best teams in the Segunda. When they beat Xerez away (3-0) a few weeks ago they were brilliant.
Today they take on Elche, unbeaten league leaders, who with a win can have a 8 point gap to the 2nd placed team. But I think they might struggle here. Elche are the best team in the segunda and I hope they will continue and be promoted. But away from home they have ahd some troubles and were lucky to beat both Mirandes and Hercules. They should not be favourites IMO so the bet is on Murcia.

Göteborg 2,40 (7/5)
The best bets of the day. AIK are priced as low as they are because they still have a small chance to win Allsvenskan (but they won´t). They lost to Gefle last time at home and maybe the cup games in Europe has taken it´s toll in the end of the swedish season?
Göteborg have recently beaten both Malmö and Elfsborg and will today beat another top team, AIK.
This price is really good!

Norrköping 3,60 (13/5)
Just a chance bet as Norrköping are  a good team and Elfsborg sometimes lately have seen a bit nervy. Just a value bet.


The rest of my ideas you will see in my accas.

Banker Double
Göteborg
Marseille
4,15 (3/1)

Medium treble
Everton
Granada
Göteborg
10,08 (9/1)

Chance treble
Sociedad
Huelva
Murcia
28,22 (27/1)