11 september 2012

Copa del Rey and more


Some great football the last couple of days even though the top leagues rested. In Segunda, elche showed how good they are when beating Cordoba at home. Elche must really be counted as one of the huge favourites for promotion. They once again play at Cordoba midweek in the Copa del rey. I am not betting on that game but surely Cordoba should be the bet there. Elches focus is 100% on Segunda.

If you follow me on twitter you must have won a bunch on saturday when I more and more got a feel for Hercules and named them the bet of the day and also recommended a double with Castilla. Both won and great money was to be won too :)

 

Almeria lost for the first time. Travelling to Sabadell is never easy and Almeria came back to earth with a 0-3 thumping.

Real Murcia were good away to Recreativo, but once again got a player sent off in an away game. Not good if they want to be promotion contenders. They were worth a point though but lost 2-3.

Villareal keeps on showing that they are a team that really should be in Primera division. And they should surely be promoted, if they keep playing as good as they have done so far.

Racing was worth a win and looked really good at times away to Huesca. Even though their 1-0 goal was due to really poor defending and lousy goalkeeping, they had control of the game and should have scored a few anyway. Better luck next week

 

At the bottom I give you all my thoughts in the midweek Copa del Rey games, but first some thoughts ahead of the weekend.

 

Real Madrid Castilla, who were good against Xerez, take on Sabadell at home. Sabadell had a great victory this week but should find the trip to Castilla too tough.

Almeria take on Guadalajara at home and should be back on a new winning streak. Guadalajara will surely be relegated this season, if nothing happens. Really poor side in attack.

Villareal v Hercules is the game of the round for me. Villareal are really good but hercules finally won on saturday evening and won in a really good way against Girona. They hav had loads of misfortune in the games prior to that and they will climb in the ladder. Should be a great price on them as Villareal surely must be odds on here. In that case get on hercules. They are a team for the top part of the Segunda.

Elche should continue winning as they take on Sporting, who fail to impress week after week.

Murcia seem to be candidates for home banker of the week as they face newcomers Mirandés on Nueva Condomina.

 In Primera division Malaga and Valencia seem to be bankers at home. sevilla could upset Real Madrid while Mallorca and Deportivo could grab points away from home.

 My banker treble last week was let down by Blades after an early red card. But I got 3 of 4 right in Segunda B, and Reus were close at a great price. Cartagena continued to win, should have a great chance next week too. Especially as they meet Sanluqueño. OK, it is an away game but there should be a difference in class.  

Oh, by the way; El Pozo Murcia won the supercup in Futsal. Will follow the league this season with focus on Murcia, the champions, and will write about them on the blog. They start at home, as do Barcelona and Inter (who they beat in the supercup final).


My Cup thoughts. First I have to say that it is tough comparing teams from different segunda B groups, but I notice that the bookies think so too J

Almeria should beat Murcia. Almeria are really good this season and Murcia might rest a few players.

Alcorcón seems like a great bet at home to Numancia. They have been really good and winning 3-1 at Las Palmas in the weekend must have given them confidence to beat Numancia, who alwys seem to go for 0-0 when playing away.

Former Primera team Tenerife have started the season in segunda B really well winning all 3 games so far. They travel to Alcoyano, who was relegated from Segunda last season and have started their season awfully. OK price on the away team.

Jaén are my bankers in the cup this week. They have yet to conced a goal in the Segunda B and are really strong at home. Caudal are a mediocre team in a weaker Segunda B group. SUPERODDS  on them!!
 

Another home banker and a team that hasn´t conceded a goal in the league so far is Alaves, who played a UEFA-cup final against Liverpool not too long ago. They now play in Segunda B group 2 and have 9 points after 3 games and 6-0 in goal difference. They now face Sanluqueño at home (the same team that Cartagena meet next weekend) and will win easily.

A third home banker in a row is cadiz. They are really strong at home and now face Arroyo, who has started the season better than I thought, but here they should have no chance.

hospitalet and Villarreal should also win at home.

Away bets at good prices are Albacete, who are a really good side and could win at Hurracan, Racing, who with some more luck should beat a poor Lugo, and Eibar, who are over priced at lleida, not much difference between the two teams.

 

I have put together 3 trebles in CdR

Banker:                                                                                                       
Jaén
Cadiz
Alaves
11/4 (3,72)

 

Midpriced:
Tenerife
Alcorcon
Hospitalet
4/1 (4,97)

 

Chance:
Racing
Eibar
Albacete
19/1 (19,80)

 

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