This weekend the Swedish football starts again. I will stay away from tipping outright winners as Allsvenskan once again is really open and hard to predict. But I have bets in the first round games in Allsvenskan and Superettan
Malmö - Norrköping 1- 1,67 (4/6)
Norrköping are champions but will not be able to defend their crown. I think they will struggle to end top 4 this season. Malmö on the other hand look really strong. They have reached the final of the Swedish cup and beat Norrköping in the QF. Not that that says anything as it is all in the preseason. But Malmö are title contenders and should start with a win at a decent price.
Kalmar - Jönköping 1- 1,85 (17/20)
Kalmar will be one of the surprise teams this season and could end really high in Allsvenskan. They looked good in the preseason cup reaching the semi which they lost 2-3to Malmö. Jönköping are promoted and will struggle. I think their stay in Allsvenskan only will be one season long. A derby that Kalmar will win.
Örebro - Djurgården 1- 2,60 (8/5)
Örebro started last season poorly but they were great in the autumn (7-2-0 in the last 9 games). This year I think they could be another of the surprises ending high up, maybe even challenging for the title. Djurgården I have no faith in at all. I think they will end in the bottom half of Allsvenskan and will start the season of with a big loss. yes they have won 4 straight at Örebro but I think Örebro will win by 2-3 goals here. This is the BEST BET of the first round.
Other Allsvenskan games are tougher to predict. Hammarby, Göteborg and AIK should all win but the prices are a bit low for me.
In Superettan I have a feeling GAIS will beat Frej (13/20 1,65) as Frej will have a tough season. But the price is just a little too small. Other superettan bets can be Degerfors and Värnamo
31 mars 2016
26 september 2015
Bet of the Day September 26
Once again I go to Spanish Futsal for my bet. Last years 2nd placed team ElPozo Murcia have started the season with a last minute win in the derby against jumilla and after that an easy homewin. Today they travel to Jaen (not far away) and will win again. Jaén have just 1 point so far after drawing at poor Levante (Levante´s only point after 3 games, so they are poor) and a loss to champions Inter Movistar. jaén just lost by one goal against Inter but ElPozo have looked better than Inter this season and I am not betting the handicap (even though I believe ElPozo will win by more than 2 goals)
My BOTD is ElPozo Murcia 1,50 (1/2) in Spanish Futsal
My BOTD is ElPozo Murcia 1,50 (1/2) in Spanish Futsal
20 september 2015
Bet of the day September 20
Took a few days of the heavy betting as form was bad and time was not much I had.
But today I am back with a GREAT BOTD. Only Bet365 offer prices ut their compilers must have been drunk when pricing this game up.
Lorca Deportivo are newly promoted to Tercera Grp 13 after winning the preferente last season. They have started their season with 3 straight wins but they have played some of the weakest teams in the group, including fellow newly promoted Pupileno (who have 0 points and 0 scored this season).
Today they take on Aguilas. A team that always end top 4 and should do so this season too. As most teams (almost all) in this group are from Murcia, all games are kind of derbied as Murcia is a sall region. BUT..this is more a derby than many as Lorca and Aguilas are really close and Aguilas is where people from Lorca usually go to get to the beach,
Aguilas have also started with 3 wins and look stronger. Here I think compilers think Lorca Deportivo is La Hoya Lorca (who play in segunda B). Then the prices would be ok, now they are so massively wrong. 9/2 (5,50) on Aguilas is MADNESS! They should be favourites in this game
BOTD Aguilas 9/2 (5,50)
But today I am back with a GREAT BOTD. Only Bet365 offer prices ut their compilers must have been drunk when pricing this game up.
Lorca Deportivo are newly promoted to Tercera Grp 13 after winning the preferente last season. They have started their season with 3 straight wins but they have played some of the weakest teams in the group, including fellow newly promoted Pupileno (who have 0 points and 0 scored this season).
Today they take on Aguilas. A team that always end top 4 and should do so this season too. As most teams (almost all) in this group are from Murcia, all games are kind of derbied as Murcia is a sall region. BUT..this is more a derby than many as Lorca and Aguilas are really close and Aguilas is where people from Lorca usually go to get to the beach,
Aguilas have also started with 3 wins and look stronger. Here I think compilers think Lorca Deportivo is La Hoya Lorca (who play in segunda B). Then the prices would be ok, now they are so massively wrong. 9/2 (5,50) on Aguilas is MADNESS! They should be favourites in this game
BOTD Aguilas 9/2 (5,50)
13 september 2015
Bet of the day September 13
Crappy Blades yesterday. Awful performance. I need some more luck on my bets so I go back to Spain Segunda B grp 4 and La Hoya Lorca.
They play away at midday to Melilla. Melilla have been poor so far with just 1 point in 3 games while La Hoya lead the division, ,are unbeaten and have 4-0 in goals. Still though the bookies underrate La Hoya. probably on their poor season last time, but the season before they played off for a place in Segunda as newcomers in Segunda B.
19/10 is so wrong. La Hoya should be favourites.
BOTD LA Hoya 19/10
They play away at midday to Melilla. Melilla have been poor so far with just 1 point in 3 games while La Hoya lead the division, ,are unbeaten and have 4-0 in goals. Still though the bookies underrate La Hoya. probably on their poor season last time, but the season before they played off for a place in Segunda as newcomers in Segunda B.
19/10 is so wrong. La Hoya should be favourites.
BOTD LA Hoya 19/10
12 september 2015
Bet of the day September 12
Many good bets today but no really outstanding. a few possible handicap bets in games where the best team have underperformed so far; Real Madrid and Chelsea are two that could win -1 or more.
My BOTD is in League 1 in England. Sheffield United lost 0-4 away at Gillingham in the season opener. But forget that. After that they have been perfect and in the last 4 league games they have conceded only 1 goal.
Bury are a promoted side and won their first game of the season last time out. OK, that was away at Walsall, so it was a good result, but they have no chance against a Blades side who will be promoted and are in great shape. Sheffield Utd also never loses to Buy. Last loss was back in 1928 and Blades should not be the price they are. &710 would have been good too, but now they are almost evens.
BOTD: Sheffield United 9/10 (1,90)
My BOTD is in League 1 in England. Sheffield United lost 0-4 away at Gillingham in the season opener. But forget that. After that they have been perfect and in the last 4 league games they have conceded only 1 goal.
Bury are a promoted side and won their first game of the season last time out. OK, that was away at Walsall, so it was a good result, but they have no chance against a Blades side who will be promoted and are in great shape. Sheffield Utd also never loses to Buy. Last loss was back in 1928 and Blades should not be the price they are. &710 would have been good too, but now they are almost evens.
BOTD: Sheffield United 9/10 (1,90)
11 september 2015
Bet of the Day September 11
After taking a few days away from betting I am back and there are loads of bets to look at this weekend. NRLs playoff starts in Australia, NFL started last night and in Spain the Futsal finally starts. And even though Norrköping, Sevilla and especially Ipswich look good today I pick my BOTD in the Futsal :)
I think Manacor will surprise today. Barcelona should win quite easily and Elche are winners are winners for me.
But BOTD will be in the Murcia region derby between Jumilla and ElPozo Murcia
ElPozo are one of the strongest teams in Spain and last season lost in the final against Inter Movistar (who later went on to be European champions). They usually beat Jumilla by many goals, earlier this summer they won 5-1 and today they will win by more. Big class difference between these. Murcia should score 7 or 8 While Jumilla should be happy by getting 2. So -3,5 is a BOTD
ElPozo Murcia -3,5 6/10
I think Manacor will surprise today. Barcelona should win quite easily and Elche are winners are winners for me.
But BOTD will be in the Murcia region derby between Jumilla and ElPozo Murcia
ElPozo are one of the strongest teams in Spain and last season lost in the final against Inter Movistar (who later went on to be European champions). They usually beat Jumilla by many goals, earlier this summer they won 5-1 and today they will win by more. Big class difference between these. Murcia should score 7 or 8 While Jumilla should be happy by getting 2. So -3,5 is a BOTD
ElPozo Murcia -3,5 6/10
08 september 2015
Bet of the Day september 8
My favourite competition is on today again. Copa federacion in Spain. Was hoping for more bookie sto price this game up but will share my bet now as I think bookies who have priced it up might lower their prices.
Calahorra 6/4 (2,50)
Calahorra is a good Tercera side and they are outstanding at home. They have 6 straight at home without conceding a goal. They have just 2 losses at home the last 3 years In that time they have played 58 home games, winning 44 and drawing 12.
22 straight at home without a loss (of which 20 were won) and a total goal difference of 60-7 in those games.
Today they take on Logrones. This is not Segunda B-side Logrones but instead the tercera team. Last season Calahorra beat them 2-0 at homee and they will win again. They are a much stronger team when they play at home and the price is too high. I wouldn´t price them over evens (2.00)
Calahorra 6/4 (2,50)
Calahorra is a good Tercera side and they are outstanding at home. They have 6 straight at home without conceding a goal. They have just 2 losses at home the last 3 years In that time they have played 58 home games, winning 44 and drawing 12.
22 straight at home without a loss (of which 20 were won) and a total goal difference of 60-7 in those games.
Today they take on Logrones. This is not Segunda B-side Logrones but instead the tercera team. Last season Calahorra beat them 2-0 at homee and they will win again. They are a much stronger team when they play at home and the price is too high. I wouldn´t price them over evens (2.00)
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