03 augusti 2016

Best bets this week

I have several good bets during Wednesday and Thursday. The Olympic football starts and I think a few prices are wrong.
But lets start in Europe


Celtic  - Astana  2 (+1)
Celtic have not been impressive in CL-qualification and even though they got a draw in the first leg it was down to pure luck. We all know about Celtic as a team and many bet on them thanks to their name. But they come from a very weak league and I have a feeling Astana won´t lose here.


Anderlecht - Rostov  2(+1)
Anderlecht managed a draw in the first leg and have become too big favourites here at home. Rostov is IMO a better team and should have won the first leg. I feel the draw is most likely as Anderlecht go through on 0-0 and 1-1 but I try +1 to Rostov for the good price.

Young boys - Shaktar 2- evens (2,00)
YB played with 10 men a long while in the first leg but that is not the reason they lost. Shaktar was much better overall and should have scored more than the 2-0 they did win with. Now YB need to go forward and create things and this fits Shaktar perfectly. They have started the league season very well and are usually good oin away games. Should win this leg too.

Hapoel - Olympiakos  2-evens (2,00)
Olympiakos must have underrated Hapoel in the first leg, only getting a 0-0 draw. This was a big setback for a team who really should be in the group stage of CL. Today they will do nothing wrong and I expect them to sore early and HT/FT could be a bet too.


Over to the Europa League on Thursday. I have two outsider bets that I think are really good.

HJK (7/4 , 2,75) and AIK (21/10 , 3,10)
HJK beat Göteborg away in the first leg and IMO they are quite even with Göteborg in strength. Göteborg not only need to win but have to score atleast twice. HJK should be favourites and this is in IMO a great price.
AIK just lost 0-1 in Greece and the same goes here. At home they should be favourites, even though this is played at Tele2-arena and not Friends). Greek teams rarely perform well away and AIK should win but I am not sure they progress.



Olympic football

On the female side the first round seems simple. Sweden, Germany, USA and Brazil all play teams they should beat with ease. It is important for them to start strong and I bet all 4 of them to win by more than a goal (-1)

On the men´s side it is a bit harder to predict what will happen as they are youth teams. But I have a few outsiders that have been priced up too high.
Iraq 23/10 (3,30)
Honduras 2/1 (3,00)
Sweden 18/5 (3,60)
Not much to write about these games as teams are difficult t rank in the first round, but try all these as I really think they are overpriced.

Inga kommentarer: