22 april 2012

Swedish thoughts - Sunday 22 April

A bit late so I will do them Quickly, my thoughts on Swedish football today, that is.

ALLSVENSKAN

GAIS v Norrköping
GAIS have been the big disappointment for me so far. They have the capability to beat Norrköping but the way they are playing then no serious punter could bet at the prices given. Under evens (2,00) is ridiculous.
Small norrköping bet or +1 on them are the only thing I can recommend.


AIK v Sundsvall
AIK have had problems at home thi sseason and are too big favourites here and the only possible bet is under 2,5 as that often happens when AIK play.


SUPERETTAN
Assyriska v Värnamo
Should be a clear homewin. Värnamo are not good enough to play in Superettan and Assyriska have won both games so far. 8/15 (1,53) a bit low though. Wait a bit inplay for better prices or go Assyriska -1 or maybe Assyriska and over.

Trelleborg v Jönköping
Once again I have to recommend a bet on Jönköping. They have been really good so far and they should not be 2/1 (3,00) against Trelleborg. Compilers still overrate Trelleborg as they played in Allsvenskan last season. This really is the Valuebet of the day!

Falkenberg v Brage
Falkenberg have not been as good as I thought but at home to Brage they should take their first win. Brage will struggle in most awaygames and at 4/5 (1,80) Falkenberg are worth a bet.

Degerfors v Umeå
Degeerfors are without points after 2 games. But they have met halmstadf and Jönköping, two of the best teams in Superettan. Now they  ply home to one of the worst teams, Umeå. William Hill has 10/11 on a homewin and I had hoped for evens. Wait a few minutes inplay and you will get evens, which IMo is a great price.





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