Swedish Thougts Sunday 15 april

Now the Swedish season is really starting as div 1,2 and 3 starts aswell. I will try to find good bets in those divisions aswell. I usuallu use prices from William Hill, as they have the greatest thing on the internet, their Inplay radio service, but with lower divisions I must find prices elsewhere and as I have a small connection with Unibet (I was one of their first 10 customers) I will pick prices from them. Once again, there might be better prices but I will not look around.


Allsvenskan

Syrianska v AIK
AIK should win this game but they have not been good enought o be the price they are. Two draws at home and a lucky win at Kalmar do not warrant a price under evens (2,00). Syrianska had a shock win in the first round against Göteborg, but away to Sundsvall last week they were really poor.
If you look at H2H it seems like Syrianska beat AIK 3-0 last time they played here, but that win was given them after the game was abandoned due to idiots in the AIK crowd.
I think this will be a low scoring game, as it often is with AIK. Another way is to wait and bet AIK inplay when they reach 5/4 (2,20) or more.

Mjällby v åtvidaberg
You can´t go against a team that has started the season as Åtvidaberg have done. Especially as they meet a team that has played so poorly as Mjällby. They were good against AIk in the first round but after that they have not impressed anyone. The only reason why åtvidaberg should be taken with caution is that this game is played on natural grass. All 3 wins for åtvidaberg so far have come on an artificial pitch. But at 2/1 (3,00) they must be the bet.

Göteborg v Örebro
Göteborg have just 1 point so far and they are pried too low here. Any time now they will start firing like they are supposed to and could win by 3-4 goals against any team. But as long as they haven´t proven themselves to be as good as the experts thought preseason, you cannot bet on them at the prices offered today. it´s not only that they have lost, in both losses they have been 1-0 up. Örebro come from 2 straight 0-0 matches and maybe they are good enough defensively to shut out Göteborg too? Stay away.


Superettan

Ängelholm v Värnamo
One of the best bets today. Ängelholm is a team that I think will be higher in Superettan than many experts predicted. And Värnamo might be the worst team in the division. Hard to tell though as this is only the second game but 3/4 (1,75) is highert than I thought  on Ängelholm and a certain bet.

BP v Falkenberg
No idea here. Thought falkenberg would win easily against Umeå but it ended 1-1. Ae they not as good as I thought or will they win here? no idea. so stay away.


Womens Allsvenska
No pregame prices with William Hill.

Djurgården v Jitex
IMO Jitex is the better team. Should be outsiders and could be a fun bet.

Vittsjö v AIK
Vittsjö are better than AIK, a team I rank bottom of Allsvenskan. prices might be too low on Vittsjö though looking at other bookies.

LDB Malmö v kristianstad
banker homewin and seems to be at a good price. LDB should be a few goals stronger and -1 and -2 are bets too for me. Kristianstad held Linköping to a 1-1 draw last round but they are a strong home team. Away they are much poorer.


In division 1 (men) I have 2 bets
Forward should be a top team, Sandviken won´t and this should be a banker home win.

Sleipner are around 2/1 (3,00) at home to Oddevold and that seems too high for me, much too high.

Div 2.
Rotebro are a fun bet agianst valsta/syrianska, who have been priced up as bg favourites. Rotebro are not a bad team and have a better chance than prices indicate.