Swedish Thoughts Sunday 29 april

Another great betting day yesterday :)
Today many games in Sweden that are worth a bet.


First let me share this link to more correct inplay stats as som bookmakers usually have incorrect stats in Swedish games. Don´t know why but the people reporting these games seem to be lost too often. These stats are the ones used by TV etc.
http://livescore.svenskfotboll.se/?date=&national=0



Allsvenskan:
Djurgården v Kalmar
Neither team can be satisfied with their start to the season. Both teams have beaten Sundsvall and Kalmar have also beten Häcken, apartfrom that they have poor results. In the last two Djurgården games there has been 12 goals and their defence is one of the weakest in Allsvenskan. Kalmar need to forget their defensive football if they want to win here. Over 2,5 could be a bet here but at 7/10 (1,70) it isn´t good enough. I prefer Both teams to score at 10/11 (1,91). No way any team will win 3-0 or more so for the over 2,5 to land, both teams need to score. A really good bet IMO.

Sundsvall v Örebro
Two of the weakest teams in Allsvenska so far and here I go for the value bet. Örebro at 12/5 (3,40) is too high. Even a bet on X2 could be a good one. Sundsvall should not be as low as evens (2,00) here.

Norrköping v Malmö
malmö started the season really poor and even though they have 3 straight wins they are not playing well. Norrköping could disturb and pregame their price is the only you could go for. But I will wait for live inplay prices on this and check the stats to find wher to bet.
This could also bea BTTS-game as I predict a few goals.


Superettan
Umeå v Ljungskile
Ljungskile have met three of the best teams in Superettan so far and only come away with 1 point. Umeå won against Degerfors in the last round and are also the only team that have been really close to grabbibg points against leagueleaders Hammarby. 29/20 (2,45) is good on the hometeam and some bookies offer even more.

Värnamo v Landskrona
Värnamo are too weak for Superettan. No points and no goals scored after 3 rounds is not only poor, it is really lousy. landskrona score goals and won at home to Brage last time out. If they score I think they will win and score they should against a Värnamo side that has to attack if they want to break their duck. 6/4 (2,50) on landskrona is one of the better bets in Sweden today.

Jönköping v Öster
As you know I like Jönköping and they are still a bit underrated. They now meet one of the preseason favourites öster in a Smålands derby. After beating two weak teams by a few goals, jönköping showed last week that they belong in the top as they beat Trelleborg away. Both teams have a full 9 points, but Jönköping is a bit more impressive IMO. Bet on them untill they start to lose is my tip and 11/10 (2,10) is good enough.


In womens allsvenska go for big wins for Linköping and Tyresö. -1 atleast and Linköping could even be a -3 bet as they are miles better than weak AIK.